Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28877952›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2017

Effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of a cardiovascular risk prediction algorithm for people with severe mental illness (PRIMROSE).

Ella Zomer, David Osborn, Irwin Nazareth, Ruth Blackburn, Alexandra Burton, Sarah Hardoon, Richard Ian Gregory Holt, Michael King, Louise Marston, Stephen Morris and 4 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.1field-weighted citation impact, top 19% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 23 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 5 institutions in 5 countries.

Ella ZomerDepartment of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.
David OsbornDivision of Psychiatry, Faculty of Brain Sciences, University College London, London, UK.
Irwin NazarethDepartment of Primary Care and Population Health, Faculty of Population Health Sciences, University College London, London, UK.
Ruth BlackburnDivision of Psychiatry, Faculty of Brain Sciences, University College London, London, UK.
Alexandra BurtonDivision of Psychiatry, Faculty of Brain Sciences, University College London, London, UK.
Sarah HardoonDepartment of Primary Care and Population Health, Faculty of Population Health Sciences, University College London, London, UK.
Richard Ian Gregory HoltHuman Development and Health Academic Unit, Faculty of Medicine, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
Michael KingDivision of Psychiatry, Faculty of Brain Sciences, University College London, London, UK.
Louise MarstonDepartment of Primary Care and Population Health, Faculty of Population Health Sciences, University College London, London, UK.
Stephen MorrisDepartment of Applied Health Research, Faculty of Population Health Sciences, University College London, London, UK.
Rumana OmarDepartment of Statistical Science, Faculty of Mathematical and Physical Sciences, University College London, London, UK.
Irene PetersenDepartment of Primary Care and Population Health, Faculty of Population Health Sciences, University College London, London, UK.
Kate WaltersDepartment of Primary Care and Population Health, Faculty of Population Health Sciences, University College London, London, UK.
Rachael Maree HunterDepartment of Primary Care and Population Health, Faculty of Population Health Sciences, University College London, London, UK.
University College London · GBPrimary Health Care · QANational Health Service · GBPhysical Sciences (United States) · USUniversity of Southampton · GB

Funding

Department of Health RP-PG-0609-10156
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo determine the cost-effectiveness of two bespoke severe mental illness (SMI)-specific risk algorithms compared with standard risk algorithms for primary cardiovascular disease (CVD) prevention in those with SMI.

settingPrimary care setting in the UK. The analysis was from the National Health Service perspective.

participants1000 individuals with SMI from The Health Improvement Network Database, aged 30-74 years and without existing CVD, populated the model.

interventionsFour cardiovascular risk algorithms were assessed: (1) general population lipid, (2) general population body mass index (BMI), (3) SMI-specific lipid and (4) SMI-specific BMI, compared against no algorithm. At baseline, each cardiovascular risk algorithm was applied and those considered high risk ( PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and costs were accrued for each algorithm including no algorithm, and cost-effectiveness was calculated using the net monetary benefit (NMB) approach. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to test assumptions made and uncertainty around parameter estimates.

resultsThe SMI-specific BMI algorithm had the highest NMB resulting in 15 additional QALYs and a cost saving of approximately £53 000 per 1000 patients with SMI over 10 years, followed by the general population lipid algorithm (13 additional QALYs and a cost saving of £46 000).

conclusionsThe general population lipid and SMI-specific BMI algorithms performed equally well. The ease and acceptability of use of an SMI-specific BMI algorithm (blood tests not required) makes it an attractive algorithm to implement in clinical settings.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAlgorithmsBody Mass IndexCardiovascular DiseasesCost-Benefit AnalysisDatabases, FactualFemaleHumansMaleMental DisordersMiddle AgedModels, EconomicPrimary Health CareQuality-Adjusted Life YearsRisk Assessmentcoronary heart diseasehealth economicsmental health

Identifiers

PMID28877952
PMCPMC5588956
OpenAlexW2901766699

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.