Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28874880›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2017

Monitoring Pertussis Infections Using Internet Search Queries.

Yuzhou Zhang, Gabriel Milinovich, Zhiwei Xu, Hilary Bambrick, Kerrie Mengersen, Shilu Tong, Wenbiao Hu

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
4.0field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 45 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Observational
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Time Series Analysis and Forecasting with Automated Machine Learning on a National ICD-10 Database.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 1 institution in 2 countries.

Yuzhou ZhangSchool of Public Health and Social Work; Institute of Health and Biomedical Innovation, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.ORCID 0000-0003-0668-8697
Gabriel MilinovichSchool of Public Health and Social Work; Institute of Health and Biomedical Innovation, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-6536-2756
Zhiwei XuSchool of Public Health and Social Work; Institute of Health and Biomedical Innovation, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.
Hilary BambrickSchool of Public Health and Social Work; Institute of Health and Biomedical Innovation, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.
Kerrie MengersenScience and Engineering Faculty, Mathematical and Statistical Science, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.
Shilu TongSchool of Public Health and Social Work; Institute of Health and Biomedical Innovation, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.
Wenbiao HuSchool of Public Health and Social Work; Institute of Health and Biomedical Innovation, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia. w2.hu@qut.edu.au.
Queensland University of Technology · AU

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study aims to assess the utility of internet search query analysis in pertussis surveillance. This study uses an empirical time series model based on internet search metrics to detect the pertussis incidence in Australia. Our research demonstrates a clear seasonal pattern of both pertussis infections and Google Trends (GT) with specific search terms in time series seasonal decomposition analysis. The cross-correlation function showed significant correlations between GT and pertussis incidences in Australia and each state at the lag of 0 and 1 months, with the variation of correlations between 0.17 and 0.76 (p < 0.05). A multivariate seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model was developed to track pertussis epidemics pattern using GT data. Reflected values for this model were generally consistent with the observed values. The inclusion of GT metrics improved detective performance of the model (β = 0.058, p < 0.001). The validation analysis indicated that the overall agreement was 81% (sensitivity: 77% and specificity: 83%). This study demonstrates the feasibility of using internet search metrics for the detection of pertussis epidemics in real-time, which can be considered as a pre-requisite for constructing early warning systems for pertussis surveillance using internet search metrics.

Indexed as

InternetPublic Health SurveillanceDisease OutbreaksEpidemiological MonitoringHumansIncidenceSearch EngineSeasonsWhooping Cough

Identifiers

PMID28874880
PMCPMC5585203
OpenAlexW2753641467

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.