Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28873416›Full record

ArticlePloS one2017

Cost-effectiveness analysis of use of a polypill versus usual care or best practice for primary prevention in people at high risk of cardiovascular disease.

Sue Jowett, Pelham Barton, Andrea Roalfe, Kate Fletcher, F D Richard Hobbs, Richard J McManus, Jonathan Mant

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Sue JowettHealth Economics Unit, Institute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, West Midlands, United Kingdom.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8936-3745
Pelham BartonHealth Economics Unit, Institute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, West Midlands, United Kingdom.
Andrea RoalfePrimary Care Clinical Sciences, Institute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, West Midlands, United Kingdom.
Kate FletcherPrimary Care Clinical Sciences, Institute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, West Midlands, United Kingdom.
F D Richard HobbsNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxfordshire, United Kingdom.
Richard J McManusNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxfordshire, United Kingdom.
Jonathan MantPrimary Care Unit, Department of Public Health & Primary Care, Strangeways Research Laboratory, University of Cambridge, Wort's Causeway, Cambridge, Cambridgeshire, United Kingdom.

Funding

Department of Health IS-SPC-0514-10043Department of Health NIHR-RP-02-12-015Department of Health RP-PG-0606-1153
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundClinical trials suggest that use of fixed-dose combination therapy ('polypills') can improve adherence to medication and control of risk factors of people at high risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) compared to usual care, but cost-effectiveness is unknown.

objectiveTo determine whether a polypill is cost-effective compared to usual care and optimal guideline-recommended treatment for primary prevention in people already on statins and/or blood pressure lowering therapy.

methodsA Markov model was developed to perform a cost-utility analysis with a one year time cycle and a 10 year time horizon to compare the polypill with usual care and optimal implementation of NICE Guidelines, using patient level data from a retrospective cross-sectional study. The model was run for ten age (40 years+) and gender-specific sub-groups on treatment for raised CVD risk with no history of CVD. Published sources were used to estimate impact of different treatment strategies on risk of CVD events.

resultsA polypill strategy was potentially cost-effective compared to other strategies for most sub-groups ranging from dominance to up to £18,811 per QALY depending on patient sub-group. Optimal implementation of guidelines was most cost-effective for women aged 40-49 and men aged 75+. Results were sensitive to polypill cost, and if the annual cost was less than £150, this approach was cost-effective compared to the other strategies.

conclusionsFor most people already on treatment to modify CVD risk, a polypill strategy may be cost-effective compared with optimising treatment as per guidelines or their current care, as long as the polypill cost is sufficiently low.

Indexed as

Cost-Benefit AnalysisAgedCardiovascular AgentsCardiovascular DiseasesDrug Therapy, CombinationFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedModels, TheoreticalPrimary PreventionProbabilityCardiovascular Agents

Identifiers

PMID28873416
PMCPMC5584935

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.