Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28871012›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2017

Performance of a postnatal metabolic gestational age algorithm: a retrospective validation study among ethnic subgroups in Canada.

Steven Hawken, Robin Ducharme, Malia S Q Murphy, Katherine M Atkinson, Beth K Potter, Pranesh Chakraborty, Kumanan Wilson

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Steven HawkenClinical Epidemiology Program, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Robin DucharmeuOttawa, Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Malia S Q MurphyClinical Epidemiology Program, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Katherine M AtkinsonClinical Epidemiology Program, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Beth K PotterClinical Epidemiology Program, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Pranesh ChakrabortyDepartment of Paediatrics, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Kumanan WilsonClinical Epidemiology Program, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesBiological modelling of routinely collected newborn screening data has emerged as a novel method for deriving postnatal gestational age estimates. Validation of published models has previously been limited to cohorts largely consisting of infants of white Caucasian ethnicity. In this study, we sought to determine the validity of a published gestational age estimation algorithm among recent immigrants to Canada, where maternal landed immigrant status was used as a surrogate measure of infant ethnicity.

designWe conducted a retrospective validation study in infants born in Ontario between April 2009 and September 2011.

settingProvincial data from Ontario, Canada were obtained from the Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences.

participantsThe dataset included 230 034 infants born to non-landed immigrants and 70 098 infants born to immigrant mothers. The five most common countries of maternal origin were India (n=10 038), China (n=7468), Pakistan (n=5824), The Philippines (n=5441) and Vietnam (n=1408). Maternal country of origin was obtained from Citizenship and Immigration Canada's Landed Immigrant Database. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Performance of a postnatal gestational age algorithm was evaluated across non-immigrant and immigrant populations.

resultsRoot mean squared error (RMSE) of 1.05 weeks was observed for infants born to non-immigrant mothers, whereas RMSE ranged from 0.98 to 1.15 weeks among infants born to immigrant mothers. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for distinguishing term versus preterm infants (≥37 vs <37 weeks gestational age or >34 vs ≤34 weeks gestational age) was 0.958 and 0.986, respectively, in the non-immigrant subgroup and ranged from 0.927 to 0.964 and 0.966 to 0.99 in the immigrant subgroups.

conclusionsAlgorithms for postnatal determination of gestational age may be further refined by development and validation of region or ethnicity-specific models. However, our results provide reassurance that an algorithm developed from Ontario-born infant cohorts performs well across a range of ethnicities and maternal countries of origin without modification.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsGestational AgeNeonatal ScreeningBirth WeightDatabases, FactualEmigrants and ImmigrantsEthnicityFemaleHumansInfant, NewbornMaleModels, StatisticalOntarioParturitionReproducibility of ResultsRetrospective Studiesgestational agenewborn screeningprediction modelling

Identifiers

PMID28871012
PMCPMC5589017

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