ArticleAgricultural systems2017
Mapping regional risks from climate change for rainfed rice cultivation in India.
Article in Agricultural systems, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.
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9 citing papers in PubMed, 82 citations in OpenAlex.
- Spatiotemporal analysis of plague risk in Tibet: Multi-source data-driven ensemble model development and validation.One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2026Article
- Gene expression analyses of the calmodulin binding protein 60 family under water stress conditions in rice.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Agricultural innovations for sustainability? Diverse pathways and plural perspectives on rice seeds in Odisha, India.Agriculture and human values · 2025Article
- Unraveling the genetic potential of Indian rice germplasm for reproductive stage drought tolerance.Frontiers in plant science · 2025Article
- Time to Step Up Conservation: Climate Change Will Further Reduce the Suitable Habitats for the Vulnerable Species Marbled Polecat (Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2023Article
- Climate Change and Household Debt in Rural India.Climatic change · 2022Article
- Undernutrition is feeding the tuberculosis pandemic: A perspective.Journal of clinical tuberculosis and other mycobacterial diseases · 2022Review
- Genetic diversity for drought and low-phosphorus tolerance in rice (Oryza sativa L.) varieties and donors adapted to rainfed drought-prone ecologies.Scientific reports · 2021Article
- Impact of osmotic stress on the growth and root architecture of introgression lines derived from a wild ancestor of rice and a modern cultivar.Plant-environment interactions (Hoboken, N.J.) · 2020Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
5 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Global warming is predicted to increase in the future, with detrimental consequences for rainfed crops that are dependent on natural rainfall (i.e. non-irrigated). Given that many crops grown under rainfed conditions support the livelihoods of low-income farmers, it is important to highlight the vulnerability of rainfed areas to climate change in order to anticipate potential risks to food security. In this paper, we focus on India, where ~ 50% of rice is grown under rainfed conditions, and we employ statistical models (climate envelope models (CEMs) and boosted regression trees (BRTs)) to map changes in climate suitability for rainfed rice cultivation at a regional level (~ 18 × 18 km cell resolution) under projected future (2050) climate change (IPCC RCPs 2.6 and 8.5, using three GCMs: BCC-CSM1.1, MIROC-ESM-CHEM, and HadGEM2-ES). We quantify the occurrence of rice (whether or not rainfed rice is commonly grown, using CEMs) and rice extent (area under cultivation, using BRTs) during the summer monsoon in relation to four climate variables that affect rice growth and yield namely ratio of precipitation to evapotranspiration (
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