Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28860599›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2017

Development and validation of a risk prediction model for end-stage renal disease in patients with type 2 diabetes.

Cheng-Chieh Lin, Chia-Ing Li, Chiu-Shong Liu, Wen-Yuan Lin, Chih-Hsueh Lin, Sing-Yu Yang, Tsai-Chung Li

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
2.9field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 47 citations in OpenAlex.

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  9. Proteinuria, measured or estimated albuminuria for risk prediction in patients with chronic kidney disease?Nephrology, dialysis, transplantation : official publication of the European Dialysis and Transplant Association - European Renal Association · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Cheng-Chieh LinSchool of Medicine, College of Medicine, China Medical University, Taichung, Taiwan.
Chia-Ing LiSchool of Medicine, College of Medicine, China Medical University, Taichung, Taiwan.
Chiu-Shong LiuSchool of Medicine, College of Medicine, China Medical University, Taichung, Taiwan.
Wen-Yuan LinSchool of Medicine, College of Medicine, China Medical University, Taichung, Taiwan.ORCID 0000-0002-5220-5759
Chih-Hsueh LinSchool of Medicine, College of Medicine, China Medical University, Taichung, Taiwan.
Sing-Yu YangDepartment of Public Health, College of Public Health, China Medical University, Taichung, Taiwan.
Tsai-Chung LiDepartment of Public Health, College of Public Health, China Medical University, Taichung, Taiwan. tcli@mail.cmu.edu.tw.ORCID 0000-0002-3346-7462
China Medical University · TWAsia University · TW

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The aim of this study is to develop a prediction model for ESRD in patients with type 2 diabetes. A retrospective cohort study was conducted, consisting of 24,104 Chinese patients with type 2 diabetes. We adopted the procedures proposed by the Framingham Heart Study to develop a prediction model for ESRD. Participants were randomly assigned to the derivation and validation sets at a 2:1 ratio. The Cox proportional hazard regression model was used for model development. A total of 813 and 402 subjects (5.06% and 5.00%, respectively) developed ESRD in the derivation and validation sets over a mean follow-up period of 8.3 years. The risk-scoring systems included age, gender, age of diabetes onset, combined statuses of blood pressure and anti-hypertensive medication use, creatinine, variation in HbA1c, variation in systolic blood pressure, diabetes retinopathy, albuminuria, anti-diabetes medications, and combined statuses of hyperlipidemia and anti-hyperlipidemia medication use. The area under curves of 3-year, 5-year, and 8-year ESRD risks were 0.90, 0.86, and 0.81 in the derivation set, respectively. This risk score model can be used as screening for early prevention. The risk prediction for 3-year, 5-year, and 8-year period demonstrated good predictive accuracy and discriminatory ability.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAged, 80 and overArea Under CurveChinaDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2FemaleHumansKidney Failure, ChronicMaleMiddle AgedModels, TheoreticalRandom AllocationRetrospective StudiesRisk Assessment

Identifiers

PMID28860599
PMCPMC5579050
OpenAlexW2745694116

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.