Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28855077›Full record

Trial reportLancet (London, England)2017

Effect of interleukin-1β inhibition with canakinumab on incident lung cancer in patients with atherosclerosis: exploratory results from a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial.

Paul M Ridker, Jean G MacFadyen, Tom Thuren, Brendan M Everett, Peter Libby, Robert J Glynn, CANTOS Trial Group

2 registry-linked trialsOpen access · bronzeAbstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Trial report in Lancet (London, England), 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to 2 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 780 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
780citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
56.4field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT01327846 phase3completednot on this map

A Randomized, Double-blind, Placebo-controlled, Event-driven Trial of Quarterly Subcutaneous Canakinumab in the Prevention of Recurrent Cardiovascular Events Among Stable Post-myocardial Infarction Patients With Elevated hsCRP

TypeinterventionalSponsorNovartis PharmaceuticalsRan2011 to 2019Enrolled10,066ConditionsAtherosclerosisArmsCanakinumab, Placebo, Standard of care
NCT07284485 phase2recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2026, after this paper: background citation

A Phase 2 Trial of Nadunolimab for Current or Former Smokers With High-risk Lung Nodules.

TypeinterventionalSponsorRobert SamsteinRan2026 to 2029Enrolled59ConditionsHigh-risk Lung NodulesArmsNadunolimab
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

780 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 1,281 citations in OpenAlex.

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  10. Interleukin-1α (IL-1α) in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma: implications for immunotherapy and molecular biomarkers.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2026
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720 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Paul M RidkerCenter for Cardiovascular Disease Prevention, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA; Cardiovascular Division, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA. Electronic address: pridker@partners.org.
Jean G MacFadyenCenter for Cardiovascular Disease Prevention, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Tom ThurenNovartis Pharmaceuticals, East Hanover, NJ, USA; Novartis Pharmaceuticals, Basel, Switzerland.
Brendan M EverettCenter for Cardiovascular Disease Prevention, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA; Cardiovascular Division, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Peter LibbyCardiovascular Division, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Robert J GlynnCenter for Cardiovascular Disease Prevention, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
CANTOS Trial Group
Harvard University · USBrigham and Women's Hospital · USNovartis (United States) · USNovartis (Switzerland) · CH

Funding

Biomarkers of Vasospasm and Outcome following Subarachnoid HemorrhageK23NS073806 · NINDS · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI CHOU, SHERRY HSIANG-YI · 2011 to 2015
$940k
Medical Research Council G0502131NINDS NIH HHS K23 NS073806Wellcome Trust 206632/Z/17/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundInflammation in the tumour microenvironment mediated by interleukin 1β is hypothesised to have a major role in cancer invasiveness, progression, and metastases. We did an additional analysis in the Canakinumab Anti-inflammatory Thrombosis Outcomes Study (CANTOS), a randomised trial of the role of interleukin-1β inhibition in atherosclerosis, with the aim of establishing whether inhibition of a major product of the Nod-like receptor protein 3 (NLRP3) inflammasome with canakinumab might alter cancer incidence.

methodsWe did a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of canakinumab in 10 061 patients with atherosclerosis who had had a myocardial infarction, were free of previously diagnosed cancer, and had concentrations of high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) of 2 mg/L or greater. To assess dose-response effects, patients were randomly assigned by computer-generated codes to three canakinumab doses (50 mg, 150 mg, and 300 mg, subcutaneously every 3 months) or placebo. Participants were followed up for incident cancer diagnoses, which were adjudicated by an oncology endpoint committee masked to drug or dose allocation. Analysis was by intention to treat. The trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT01327846. The trial is closed (the last patient visit was in June, 2017).

findingsBaseline concentrations of hsCRP (median 6·0 mg/L vs 4·2 mg/L; p<0·0001) and interleukin 6 (3·2 vs 2·6 ng/L; p<0·0001) were significantly higher among participants subsequently diagnosed with lung cancer than among those not diagnosed with cancer. During median follow-up of 3·7 years, compared with placebo, canakinumab was associated with dose-dependent reductions in concentrations of hsCRP of 26-41% and of interleukin 6 of 25-43% (p<0·0001 for all comparisons). Total cancer mortality (n=196) was significantly lower in the pooled canakinumab group than in the placebo group (p=0·0007 for trend across groups), but was significantly lower than placebo only in the 300 mg group individually (hazard ratio [HR] 0·49 [95% CI 0·31-0·75]; p=0·0009). Incident lung cancer (n=129) was significantly less frequent in the 150 mg (HR 0·61 [95% CI 0·39-0·97]; p=0·034) and 300 mg groups (HR 0·33 [95% CI 0·18-0·59]; p<0·0001; p<0·0001 for trend across groups). Lung cancer mortality was significantly less common in the canakinumab 300 mg group than in the placebo group (HR 0·23 [95% CI 0·10-0·54]; p=0·0002) and in the pooled canakinumab population than in the placebo group (p=0·0002 for trend across groups). Fatal infections or sepsis were significantly more common in the canakinumab groups than in the placebo group. All-cause mortality did not differ significantly between the canakinumab and placebo groups (HR 0·94 [95% CI 0·83-1·06]; p=0·31).

interpretationOur hypothesis-generating data suggest the possibility that anti-inflammatory therapy with canakinumab targeting the interleukin-1β innate immunity pathway could significantly reduce incident lung cancer and lung cancer mortality. Replication of these data in formal settings of cancer screening and treatment is required.

fundingNovartis Pharmaceuticals.

Indexed as

AgedAntibodies, MonoclonalAntibodies, Monoclonal, HumanizedAnti-Inflammatory AgentsAtherosclerosisCell Transformation, NeoplasticC-Reactive ProteinDose-Response Relationship, DrugDouble-Blind MethodFemaleHumansIncidenceInterleukin-1betaInterleukin-6Lung NeoplasmsMaleAntibodies, MonoclonalAntibodies, Monoclonal, HumanizedAnti-Inflammatory AgentscanakinumabC-Reactive ProteinInterleukin-1betaInterleukin-6

Identifiers

PMID28855077
OpenAlexW2750254726

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.