Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28854969›Full record

ArticleBMC cancer2017

Divergent trends in lung cancer incidence by gender, age and histological type in Estonia: a nationwide population-based study.

Tiiu Aareleid, Mari-Liis Zimmermann, Aleksei Baburin, Kaire Innos

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC cancer, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Mortality Trends for Lung Cancer and Smoking Prevalence In Peru.Asian Pacific journal of cancer prevention : APJCP · 2022
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Spatial and Temporal Analysis of Lung Cancer in Shenzhen, 2008-2018.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Cancer Incidence Trends in the Oil Shale Industrial Region in Estonia.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020
    Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Procalcitonin Level in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Patients among Indonesian Population.Open access Macedonian journal of medical sciences · 2018
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Tiiu AareleidDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, National Institute for Health Development, Hiiu 42, 11619, Tallinn, Estonia.
Mari-Liis ZimmermannEstonian Cancer Registry, National Institute for Health Development, Hiiu 42, 11619, Tallinn, Estonia.
Aleksei BaburinDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, National Institute for Health Development, Hiiu 42, 11619, Tallinn, Estonia.
Kaire InnosDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, National Institute for Health Development, Hiiu 42, 11619, Tallinn, Estonia. kaire.innos@tai.ee.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0120-2213

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLung cancer (LC) is the leading cause of cancer deaths in men and the second most frequent cause of cancer deaths in women in Estonia. The study aimed to analyze time trends in LC incidence and mortality in Estonia over the 30-year period, which included major social, economic and health care transition. The results are discussed in the context of changes in tobacco control and smoking prevalence. Long-term predictions of incidence and mortality are provided.

methodsData for calculating the incidence and mortality rates in 1985-2014 were obtained from the nationwide population-based Estonian Cancer Registry and the Causes of Death Registry. Joinpoint regression was used to analyze trends and estimate annual percentage change (APC) with 95% confidence interval (CI). Nordpred model was used to project future incidence and mortality trends for 2015-2034.

resultsIncidence peaked among men in 1991 and decreased thereafter (APC: -1.5, 95% CI: -1.8; -1.3). A decline was seen for all age groups, except age ≥ 75 years, and for all histological types, except adenocarcinoma and large cell carcinoma. Incidence among women increased overall (APC: 1.6, 95% CI: 1.1; 2.0) and in all age groups and histological types, except small cell carcinoma. Age-standardized incidence rate (world) per 100,000 was 54.2 in men and 12.9 in women in 2014. Changes in mortality closely followed those in incidence. According to our predictions, the age-standardized incidence and mortality rates will continue to decrease in men and reach a plateau in women.

conclusionsThe study revealed divergent LC trends by gender, age and histological type, which were generally consistent with main international findings. Growing public awareness and stricter tobacco control have stimulated overall favorable changes in men, but not yet in women. Large increase in incidence was observed for adenocarcinoma, which in men showed a trend opposite to the overall decline. LC will remain a serious public health issue in Estonia due to a high number of cases during the next decades, related to aging population, and previous and current smoking patterns. National tobacco control policy in Estonia should prioritize preventing smoking initiation and promoting smoking cessation, particularly among women.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedEstoniaFemaleHumansIncidenceLung NeoplasmsMaleMiddle AgedRegistriesSex FactorsSmokingTransition to Adult CareYoung AdultAgeGenderHistologyIncidenceLung cancerMortalityPopulation-basedPredictionsTime trends

Identifiers

PMID28854969
PMCPMC5577806

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.