Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28850604›Full record

ArticlePloS one2017

The utility of measles and rubella IgM serology in an elimination setting, Ontario, Canada, 2009-2014.

Shelly Bolotin, Gillian Lim, Vica Dang, Natasha Crowcroft, Jonathan Gubbay, Tony Mazzulli, Richard Schabas

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
1.7field-weighted citation impact, top 15% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 28 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Shelly BolotinPublic Health Ontario, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Gillian LimPublic Health Ontario, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Vica DangPublic Health Ontario, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Natasha CrowcroftPublic Health Ontario, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Jonathan GubbayPublic Health Ontario, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Tony MazzulliPublic Health Ontario, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Richard SchabasHastings Prince Edward Public Health, Belleville, Ontario, Canada.
Public Health Ontario · CAHospital for Sick Children · CAMount Sinai Hospital · CA

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In Canada, measles was eliminated in 1998 and rubella in 2000. Effective measles and rubella surveillance is vital in elimination settings, hinging on reliable laboratory methods. However, low-prevalence settings affect the predictive value of laboratory tests. We conducted an analysis to determine the performance of measles and rubella IgM testing in a jurisdiction where both infections are eliminated. 21,299 test results were extracted from the Public Health Ontario Laboratories database and 1,239 reports were extracted from the Ontario Integrated Public Health Information System (iPHIS) from 2008 and 2010 for measles and rubella, respectively, to 2014. Deterministic linkage resulted in 658 linked measles records (2009-2014) and 189 linked rubella records (2010-2014). Sixty-six iPHIS measles entries were classified as confirmed cases, of which 53 linked to laboratory data. Five iPHIS rubella entries were classified as confirmed, all linked to IgM results. The positive predictive value was 17.4% for measles and 3.6% for rubella. Sensitivity was 79.2% for measles and 100.0% for rubella. Specificity was 65.7% for measles and 25.8% for rubella. Our study confirms that a positive IgM alone does not confirm a measles case in elimination settings. This has important implications for countries that are working towards measles and rubella elimination.

Indexed as

Antibodies, ViralHumansImmunoglobulin MMeaslesMeasles virusOntarioPopulation SurveillancePredictive Value of TestsPrevalenceRubellaRubella virusSensitivity and SpecificityAntibodies, ViralImmunoglobulin M

Identifiers

PMID28850604
PMCPMC5574571
OpenAlexW2751709193

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.