Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28847789›Full record

ArticleBMJ quality & safety2018

Variation and statistical reliability of publicly reported primary care diagnostic activity indicators for cancer: a cross-sectional ecological study of routine data.

Gary Abel, Catherine L Saunders, Silvia C Mendonca, Carolynn Gildea, Sean McPhail, Georgios Lyratzopoulos

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ quality & safety, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
1.8field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 35 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Observational
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Associations between general practice characteristics and chest X-ray rate: an observational study.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2022
    Observational
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  12. Association between use of urgent suspected cancer referral and mortality and stage at diagnosis: a 5-year national cohort study.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2020
    Article
  13. Observational
  14. Article
  15. Availability and use of cancer decision-support tools: a cross-sectional survey of UK primary care.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2019
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
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  20. Diagnosing cancer in primary care: results from the National Cancer Diagnosis Audit.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2018
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Gary AbelPrimary Care, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2231-5161
Catherine L SaundersCambridge Centre for Health Services Research, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Silvia C MendoncaCambridge Centre for Health Services Research, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Carolynn GildeaKnowledge and Intelligence Team (East Midlands), Public Health England, Sheffield, UK.
Sean McPhailNational Cancer Registration and Analysis Service, Public Health England, London, UK.
Georgios LyratzopoulosCambridge Centre for Health Services Research, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
University of Cambridge · GBPublic Health England · GBUniversity of Exeter · GB

Funding

Cancer Research UK 17854Cancer Research UK 18180
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesRecent public reporting initiatives in England highlight general practice variation in indicators of diagnostic activity related to cancer. We aimed to quantify the size and sources of variation and the reliability of practice-level estimates of such indicators, to better inform how this information is interpreted and used for quality improvement purposes.

designEcological cross-sectional study.

settingEnglish primary care.

participantsAll general practices in England with at least 1000 patients.

main outcome measuresSixteen diagnostic activity indicators from the Cancer Services Public Health Profiles.

resultsMixed-effects logistic and Poisson regression showed that substantial proportions of the observed variance in practice scores reflected chance, variably so for different indicators (between 7% and 85%). However, after accounting for the role of chance, there remained substantial variation between practices (typically up to twofold variation between the 75th and 25th centiles of practice scores, and up to fourfold variation between the 90th and 10th centiles). The age and sex profile of practice populations explained some of this variation, by different amounts across indicators. Generally, the reliability of diagnostic process indicators relating to broader populations of patients most of whom do not have cancer (eg, rate of endoscopic investigations, or urgent referrals for suspected cancer (also known as 'two week wait referrals')) was high (≥0.80) or very high (≥0.90). In contrast, the reliability of diagnostic outcome indicators relating to incident cancer cases (eg, per cent of all cancer cases detected after an emergency presentation) ranged from 0.24 to 0.54, which is well below recommended thresholds (≥0.70).

conclusionsUse of indicators of diagnostic activity in individual general practices should principally focus on process indicators which have adequate or high reliability and not outcome indicators which are unreliable at practice level.

Indexed as

Age FactorsCross-Sectional StudiesEarly Detection of CancerEnglandFemaleGeneral PracticeHumansMaleNeoplasmsPractice Patterns, Physicians'Primary Health CareQuality Indicators, Health CareReferral and ConsultationReproducibility of ResultsSex Factorshealth policyperformance measuresprimary carequality measurement

Identifiers

PMID28847789
PMCPMC5750427
OpenAlexW2746521586

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.