Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28830373›Full record

ArticleBMC medical research methodology2017

Statistical methods for elimination of guarantee-time bias in cohort studies: a simulation study.

In Sung Cho, Ye Rin Chae, Ji Hyeon Kim, Hae Rin Yoo, Suk Yong Jang, Gyu Ri Kim, Chung Mo Nam

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medical research methodology, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 43 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
43citing papers in PubMed
3.1field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

43 citing papers in PubMed, 62 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

In Sung ChoYonsei University, College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea.
Ye Rin ChaeYonsei University, College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea.
Ji Hyeon KimDepartment of Biostatistics and Medical Informatics, Yonsei University College of Medicine, 50-1 Yonsei-ro, Seodaemun-gu, Seoul, 50-1, South Korea.
Hae Rin YooDepartment of Biostatistics and Medical Informatics, Yonsei University College of Medicine, 50-1 Yonsei-ro, Seodaemun-gu, Seoul, 50-1, South Korea.
Suk Yong JangDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Eulji University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea.
Gyu Ri KimDepartment of Biostatistics, Graduate School of Public health, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea.
Chung Mo NamDepartment of Biostatistics and Medical Informatics, Yonsei University College of Medicine, 50-1 Yonsei-ro, Seodaemun-gu, Seoul, 50-1, South Korea. cmnam@yuhs.ac.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0985-0928
Yonsei University · KREulji University · KR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAspirin has been considered to be beneficial in preventing cardiovascular diseases and cancer. Several pharmaco-epidemiology cohort studies have shown protective effects of aspirin on diseases using various statistical methods, with the Cox regression model being the most commonly used approach. However, there are some inherent limitations to the conventional Cox regression approach such as guarantee-time bias, resulting in an overestimation of the drug effect. To overcome such limitations, alternative approaches, such as the time-dependent Cox model and landmark methods have been proposed. This study aimed to compare the performance of three methods: Cox regression, time-dependent Cox model and landmark method with different landmark times in order to address the problem of guarantee-time bias.

methodsThrough statistical modeling and simulation studies, the performance of the above three methods were assessed in terms of type I error, bias, power, and mean squared error (MSE). In addition, the three statistical approaches were applied to a real data example from the Korean National Health Insurance Database. Effect of cumulative rosiglitazone dose on the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma was used as an example for illustration.

resultsIn the simulated data, time-dependent Cox regression outperformed the landmark method in terms of bias and mean squared error but the type I error rates were similar. The results from real-data example showed the same patterns as the simulation findings.

conclusionsWhile both time-dependent Cox regression model and landmark analysis are useful in resolving the problem of guarantee-time bias, time-dependent Cox regression is the most appropriate method for analyzing cumulative dose effects in pharmaco-epidemiological studies.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalAlgorithmsBiasCarcinoma, HepatocellularCohort StudiesComputer SimulationHumansHypoglycemic AgentsLiver NeoplasmsProportional Hazards ModelsRisk FactorsRosiglitazoneThiazolidinedionesTime FactorsHypoglycemic AgentsRosiglitazoneThiazolidinedionesCox regressionGuarantee-time biasLandmark methodTime-dependent Cox regression

Identifiers

PMID28830373
PMCPMC5568274
OpenAlexW2750142642

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.