Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28828481›Full record

ArticleInvestigative ophthalmology & visual science2017

PRiMeUM: A Model for Predicting Risk of Metastasis in Uveal Melanoma.

Jorge Vaquero-Garcia, Emilie Lalonde, Kathryn G Ewens, Jessica Ebrahimzadeh, Jennifer Richard-Yutz, Carol L Shields, Alejandro Barrera, Christopher J Green, Yoseph Barash, Arupa Ganguly

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Investigative ophthalmology & visual science, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 30 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
30citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

30 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Imaging-based machine learning for the diagnosis and prognosis of uveal melanoma: a systematic review and meta analysis.Graefe's archive for clinical and experimental ophthalmology = Albrecht von Graefes Archiv fur klinische und experimentelle Ophthalmologie · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Jorge Vaquero-GarciaDepartment of Genetics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, United States.
Emilie LalondeDepartment of Genetics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, United States.
Kathryn G EwensDepartment of Genetics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, United States.
Jessica EbrahimzadehDepartment of Genetics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, United States.
Jennifer Richard-YutzDepartment of Genetics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, United States.
Carol L ShieldsOcular Oncology Service, Wills Eye Hospital, Thomas Jefferson University, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States.
Alejandro BarreraDepartment of Genetics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, United States.
Christopher J GreenDepartment of Genetics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, United States.
Yoseph BarashDepartment of Genetics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, United States.
Arupa GangulyDepartment of Genetics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, United States.

Funding

Modeling Splicing in normal tissues and neurodegenerative diseaseR01AG046544 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI BARASH, YOSEPH · 2014 to 2018
$1.6M
Mutation Profile as Translatable Prognostic Biomarker of Uveal MelanomaR21CA181935 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI GANGULY, ARUPA · 2015 to 2016
$383k
NCI NIH HHS R21 CA181935NIA NIH HHS R01 AG046544
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Purpose: To create an interactive web-based tool for the Prediction of Risk of Metastasis in Uveal Melanoma (PRiMeUM) that can provide a personalized risk estimate of developing metastases within 48 months of primary uveal melanoma (UM) treatment. The model utilizes routinely collected clinical and tumor characteristics on 1227 UM, with the option of including chromosome information when available. Methods: Using a cohort of 1227 UM cases, Cox proportional hazard modeling was used to assess significant predictors of metastasis including clinical and chromosomal characteristics. A multivariate model to predict risk of metastasis was evaluated using machine learning methods including logistic regression, decision trees, survival random forest, and survival-based regression models. Based on cross-validation results, a logistic regression classifier was developed to compute an individualized risk of metastasis based on clinical and chromosomal information. Results: The PRiMeUM model provides prognostic information for personalized risk of metastasis in UM. The accuracy of the risk prediction ranged between 80% (using chromosomal features only), 83% using clinical features only (age, sex, tumor location, and size), and 85% (clinical and chromosomal information). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed these risk scores to be highly predictive of metastasis (P < 0.0001). Conclusions: PRiMeUM provides a tool for predicting an individual's personal risk of metastasis based on their individual and tumor characteristics. It will aid physicians with decisions concerning frequency of systemic surveillance and can be used as a criterion for entering clinical trials for adjuvant therapies.

Indexed as

FemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMaleMelanomaMiddle AgedNeoplasm MetastasisPrognosisProportional Hazards ModelsRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsTime FactorsUveal MelanomaUveal Neoplasms

Identifiers

PMID28828481
PMCPMC6108308

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.