Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28814655›Full record

ReviewProceedings. Biological sciences2017

Identifying climate drivers of infectious disease dynamics: recent advances and challenges ahead.

C Jessica E Metcalf, Katharine S Walter, Amy Wesolowski, Caroline O Buckee, Elena Shevliakova, Andrew J Tatem, William R Boos, Daniel M Weinberger, Virginia E Pitzer

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Proceedings. Biological sciences, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 58 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
58citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

58 citing papers in PubMed.

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  16. Infection burdens and virulence under heat stress: ecological and evolutionary considerations.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2023
    Review
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. A hot topic at the environment-health nexus: investigating the impact of climate change on infectious diseases.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2022
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

C Jessica E MetcalfDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA cmetcalf@princeton.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3166-7521
Katharine S WalterDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA.
Amy WesolowskiDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Helath, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Caroline O BuckeeDepartment of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
Elena ShevliakovaNOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ, USA.
Andrew J TatemFlowminder Foundation, Stockholm, Sweden.
William R BoosDepartment of Geology and Geophysics, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA.
Daniel M WeinbergerDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA.
Virginia E PitzerDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA.

Funding

Modeling the impact and cost-effectiveness of next-generation rotavirus vaccine strategies in low- and middle-income countriesR01AI112970 · NIAID · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI PITZER, VIRGINIA E · 2015 to 2024
$4.1M
Forecasting pneumococcal serotype frequencies to develop adult-specific vaccinesR01AI123208 · NIAID · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI WEINBERGER, DANIEL MARTIN · 2016 to 2019
$2.5M
Scientific and Technical Computing CoreP2CHD047879 · NICHD · PRINCETON UNIVERSITY · PI SALGANIK, MATTHEW J. · 2014 to 2018
$2.0M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI112970NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI123208NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD047879
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Climate change is likely to profoundly modulate the burden of infectious diseases. However, attributing health impacts to a changing climate requires being able to associate changes in infectious disease incidence with the potentially complex influences of climate. This aim is further complicated by nonlinear feedbacks inherent in the dynamics of many infections, driven by the processes of immunity and transmission. Here, we detail the mechanisms by which climate drivers can shape infectious disease incidence, from direct effects on vector life history to indirect effects on human susceptibility, and detail the scope of variation available with which to probe these mechanisms. We review approaches used to evaluate and quantify associations between climate and infectious disease incidence, discuss the array of data available to tackle this question, and detail remaining challenges in understanding the implications of climate change for infectious disease incidence. We point to areas where synthesis between approaches used in climate science and infectious disease biology provide potential for progress.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeAnimalsCommunicable DiseasesDisease VectorsHumansIncidenceclimateclimate changeinfectionmathematical modelmechanismstatistical model

Identifiers

PMID28814655
PMCPMC5563806

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.