ReviewHepatology (Baltimore, Md.)2018
Modeling the epidemic of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease demonstrates an exponential increase in burden of disease.
Review in Hepatology (Baltimore, Md.), 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to 7 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 1,285 papers, 8 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
The Role of Microbiome Reprogramming on Liver Fat Accumulation
Accuracy of Imaging Techniques Including Ultrasound and Magnetic Resonance Imaging in the Diagnosis of Steatohepatitis and Fibrosis in Patients With Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: Comparison With the Histological Reference Standard
Longitudinal Assessment of Muscle Health in Patients Undergoing Liver Transplantation (LT) for Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC)
A Care Path for the Detection of Advanced NAFLD-fibrosis: the Nijmegen-Leiden-Amsterdam 2-tiered Care Path Study - the NLA2 Study
The Clock Thickens: Morning or Evening Training for the Treatment of NAFLD? (TikTac Study)
Weight Loss and Physical Activity Lifestyle Interventions In Post Liver And Kidney Transplants
Correlation Between Serum Adiponectin and Resistin Levels and Degree of Hepatic Fibrosis In Metabolic Dysfunction _Associated Steatotic Liver Disease (MASLD)With Type2 Diabetes Mellitus
Who cites it
1,285 citing papers in PubMed, 8 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 2,339 citations in OpenAlex.
- A systematic review of MicroRNA (miRNA) biomarkers in the diagnosis and prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma.Irish journal of medical science · 2026Pooled it
- Prognostic significance of systemic immune-inflammation index in hepatocellular carcinoma: a meta-analysis.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2026Pooled it
- Pooled it
- Bibliometric analysis and visualization of ferroptosis in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD): a comprehensive review.Frontiers in pharmacology · 2026Pooled it
- Effects of exercise interventions on metabolic and hepatic function markers in overweight or obese patients with MASLD: a systematic review and meta-analysis.BMC gastroenterology · 2025Pooled it
- Risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma: an umbrella review of systematic review and meta-analysis.Annals of medicine · 2025Pooled it
- Efficacy of GLP-1 receptor agonists and dual GLP-1/GIP receptor agonists in managing MALFD: a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials.BMC gastroenterology · 2025Pooled it
- The diagnostic value of MRI-PDFF in hepatic steatosis of patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis.BMC gastroenterology · 2025Pooled it
- Clinical Trial: Phase 3 Trial of Resmetirom Versus Placebo in Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatohepatitis-Reanalysis of Fibrosis Stage 2-3 Subset.Alimentary pharmacology & therapeutics · 2026Trial
- A multipart phase 1 study of the safety, pharmacodynamics and pharmacokinetics of ALG-055009, a novel thyroid hormone receptor beta (THR-β) agonist for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH), in healthy participants.Clinical pharmacology in drug development · 2026Trial
- Severe Dietary Energy Restriction for Compensated Cirrhosis Due to Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease: A Randomised Controlled Trial.Journal of cachexia, sarcopenia and muscle · 2025Trial
- Characteristics of hepatocellular carcinoma in a Saudi tertiary care center: a 10-year retrospective study.Hepatic oncology · 2026Article
- A Cost-Effectiveness Model of Semaglutide 2.4 mg, Resmetirom 80 mg, and Resmetirom 100 mg Versus Standard of Care for the Treatment of Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatohepatitis in the United States.PharmacoEconomics · 2026Article
- Review Article: Fibrosis Reversal in Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatohepatitis-The Promise of Emerging Therapeutics.Alimentary pharmacology & therapeutics · 2026Review
- Automatic phenotyping of emergency department patients with incidental hepatic steatosis: A machine learning clustering analysis.The American journal of emergency medicine · 2026Article
- Omics-based Decoding of Metabolic Dysfunction-associated Fatty Liver Disease: From Pathogenesis to Clinical Translation.Journal of clinical and translational hepatology · 2026Review
- Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease in the Aging Population: A Narrative Review of Pathophysiological Synergy, Diagnostic Challenges, and Tailored Management.Current gastroenterology reports · 2026Review
- Article
- Simplified definition and imaging-based stratification of at-risk MASH using magnetic resonance elastography.Hepatology communications · 2026Article
- The Emerging Challenge of Non-Cirrhotic MASLD-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Etiology, Immunopathology, and Precision Oncology.Liver cancer · 2026Review
1,225 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
5 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and resulting nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) are highly prevalent in the United States, where they are a growing cause of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and increasingly an indicator for liver transplantation. A Markov model was used to forecast NAFLD disease progression. Incidence of NAFLD was based on historical and projected changes in adult prevalence of obesity and type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM). Assumptions were derived from published literature where available and validated using national surveillance data for incidence of NAFLD-related HCC. Projected changes in NAFLD-related cirrhosis, advanced liver disease, and liver-related mortality were quantified through 2030. Prevalent NAFLD cases are forecasted to increase 21%, from 83.1 million (2015) to 100.9 million (2030), while prevalent NASH cases will increase 63% from 16.52 million to 27.00 million cases. Overall NAFLD prevalence among the adult population (aged ≥15 years) is projected at 33.5% in 2030, and the median age of the NAFLD population will increase from 50 to 55 years during 2015-2030. In 2015, approximately 20% of NAFLD cases were classified as NASH, increasing to 27% by 2030, a reflection of both disease progression and an aging population. Incidence of decompensated cirrhosis will increase 168% to 105,430 cases by 2030, while incidence of HCC will increase by 137% to 12,240 cases. Liver deaths will increase 178% to an estimated 78,300 deaths in 2030. During 2015-2030, there are projected to be nearly 800,000 excess liver deaths.
conclusionWith continued high rates of adult obesity and DM along with an aging population, NAFLD-related liver disease and mortality will increase in the United States. Strategies to slow the growth of NAFLD cases and therapeutic options are necessary to mitigate disease burden. (Hepatology 2018;67:123-133).
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.