Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28800597›Full record

ArticlePLoS computational biology2017

Confirmation bias in human reinforcement learning: Evidence from counterfactual feedback processing.

Stefano Palminteri, Germain Lefebvre, Emma J Kilford, Sarah-Jayne Blakemore

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS computational biology, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 83 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
83citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

83 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Trust learning in the repeated trust game: A meta-analytic study.British journal of psychology (London, England : 1953) · 2026
    Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
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  9. Eye of the beholder: Pupillary response reflects how subjective prior beliefs shape reinforcement learning with fake news.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
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  10. Intention-Outcome Trade-Off in Moral Character Learning.Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences · 2026
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  12. Social information creates self-fulfilling prophecies in judgments of pain, vicarious pain, and cognitive effort.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
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  13. Genuine learning biases persist after accounting for temporally decreasing learning rates: Insight from fitting six datasets.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
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  17. Apparent learning biases emerge from optimal inference: Insights from master equation analysis.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
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  20. Novelty as a drive of human exploration in complex stochastic environments.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article

23 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Stefano PalminteriInstitute of Cognitive Neuroscience, University College London, London, United Kingdom.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5768-6646
Germain LefebvreLaboratoire de Neurosciences Cognitives, Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale, Paris, FR.
Emma J KilfordInstitute of Cognitive Neuroscience, University College London, London, United Kingdom.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0360-3769
Sarah-Jayne BlakemoreInstitute of Cognitive Neuroscience, University College London, London, United Kingdom.

Funding

Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Previous studies suggest that factual learning, that is, learning from obtained outcomes, is biased, such that participants preferentially take into account positive, as compared to negative, prediction errors. However, whether or not the prediction error valence also affects counterfactual learning, that is, learning from forgone outcomes, is unknown. To address this question, we analysed the performance of two groups of participants on reinforcement learning tasks using a computational model that was adapted to test if prediction error valence influences learning. We carried out two experiments: in the factual learning experiment, participants learned from partial feedback (i.e., the outcome of the chosen option only); in the counterfactual learning experiment, participants learned from complete feedback information (i.e., the outcomes of both the chosen and unchosen option were displayed). In the factual learning experiment, we replicated previous findings of a valence-induced bias, whereby participants learned preferentially from positive, relative to negative, prediction errors. In contrast, for counterfactual learning, we found the opposite valence-induced bias: negative prediction errors were preferentially taken into account, relative to positive ones. When considering valence-induced bias in the context of both factual and counterfactual learning, it appears that people tend to preferentially take into account information that confirms their current choice.

Indexed as

Reinforcement, PsychologyAdultComputational BiologyDecision MakingFeedback, PsychologicalFemaleHumansLearningMaleTask Performance and AnalysisYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID28800597
PMCPMC5568446

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.