Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28797024›Full record

ArticleJournal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999)2017

CHA2DS2-VASc Score, Warfarin Use, and Risk for Thromboembolic Events Among HIV-Infected Persons With Atrial Fibrillation.

Katherine Hsin-Yu Chau, Rebecca Scherzer, Carl Grunfeld, Priscilla Ying Hsue, Michael G Shlipak

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999), 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.6field-weighted citation impact, top 16% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 13 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Review
  6. Prevention of stroke in people living with HIV.Progress in cardiovascular diseases
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Katherine Hsin-Yu Chau*Department of Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, California;†Kidney Health Research Collaborative, San Francisco VA Medical Center, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, California; and‡Cardiology Division, San Francisco General Hospital, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, California.
Rebecca Scherzer
Carl Grunfeld
Priscilla Ying Hsue
Michael G Shlipak
University of California, San Francisco · USSan Francisco VA Medical Center · US

Funding

The Aging Kidney in HIV-Infection: biomarkers for early detection of injuryR01AG034853 · NIA · NORTHERN CALIFORNIA INSTITUTE/RES/EDU · PI ESTRELLA, MICHELLE M, SHLIPAK, MICHAEL G · 2010 to 2025
$9.6M
NIA NIH HHS R01 AG034853
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe prevalence of atrial fibrillation in the HIV-infected population is growing, but the ability of the CHA2DS2-VASc score to predict thromboembolic (TE) risk is unknown in this population.

settingWithin the Veterans Affairs HIV Clinical Case Registry, 914 patients had an atrial fibrillation diagnosis between 1997 and 2011 and no previous TE events.

methodsWe compared TE incidence by CHA2DS2-VASc scores and stratified by warfarin use. Using Cox proportional hazards regression with adjustment for competing risks, we modeled associations of CHA2DS2-VASc scores and warfarin use with TE risk.

resultsAt baseline, the distribution of CHA2DS2-VASc scores was 0 (n = 208), 1 (n = 285), and 2+ (n = 421); 34 patients developed 38 TE events during a median of 3.8 years follow-up. Event rates by CHA2DS2-VASc scores of 0, 1, and 2+ were 5.4, 9.3, and 8.1 per 1000 person years, respectively; multivariate-adjusted hazards ratios (HRs) were 1.70 (95% confidence interval: 0.65 to 4.45) for CHA2DS2-VASc score 1 (P = 0.28) and HR = 1.34 (0.51, 3.48) for score 2+ versus 0 (P = 0.55). Baseline warfarin use was associated with increased TE risk, although not statistically significant [HR 2.06 (0.86, 4.93), P = 0.11] with similar results when modeled as time-updated use and duration of use.

conclusionIn this national registry of HIV-infected veterans with atrial fibrillation, CHA2DS2-VASc scores were only weakly associated with TE risk. Furthermore, warfarin did not seem to be effective at preventing TE events. These results should raise concerns about the optimal strategy for TE prevention among HIV-infected persons with atrial fibrillation.

Indexed as

VeteransAdultAgedAtrial FibrillationComorbidityFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHIV InfectionsHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedProportional Hazards ModelsRegistriesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsWarfarin

Identifiers

PMID28797024
PMCPMC5646359
OpenAlexW2620882685

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.