Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28797021›Full record

ArticleJournal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999)2017

Personalized Risk Index for Neurocognitive Decline Among People With Well-Controlled HIV Infection.

Tracy Yuen, Marie-Josée Brouillette, Lesley K Fellows, Ronald J Ellis, Scott Letendre, Robert Heaton, Nancy Mayo, CHARTER group,

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999), 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  8. Is successful HIV therapy a Pyrrhic victory for the brain?The Journal of clinical investigation · 2019
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Tracy Yuen*Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Occupational Health, McGill University, Montreal, Québec, Canada;†Division of Clinical Epidemiology, McGill University Health Center, Montreal, Québec, Canada;‡Chronic Viral Illness Service, McGill University Health Centre and Department of Psychiatry, McGill University, Montreal, Québec, Canada;§Department of Neurology and Neurosurgery, Montreal Neurological Institute, McGill University, Montreal, Québec, Canada;Departments of ‖Neurosciences; and¶Psychiatry, University of California San Diego, San Diego, CA; and#HIV Neurobehavioural Research Centre, University of California San Diego, San Diego, CA.
Marie-Josée Brouillette
Lesley K Fellows
Ronald J Ellis
Scott Letendre
Robert Heaton
Nancy Mayo
CHARTER group,

Funding

STRUCTURAL NEUROIMAGING COREP30MH062512 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI Jessica Lynette Montoya · 2001 to 2026
$50.4M
CNS HIV ANTI-RETROVIRAL THERAPY EFFECTS RESEARCH /CHARTER/ -278022005-278022005N01MH022005 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF CA -SAN DIEGO · PI GRANT, IGOR · 2003 to 2006
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NIMH NIH HHS HHSN271201000030CNIMH NIH HHS HHSN271201000036CNIMH NIH HHS N01 MH022005NIMH NIH HHS P30 MH062512
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLittle is known about the predictors of neurocognitive decline in HIV+ individuals with good virological control. Identification of modifiable risk factors would allow targeted interventions to reduce the risk of decline in higher risk individuals. The objective of this study was to develop a risk index to predict neurocognitive decline over 3 years in aviremic HIV+ individuals.

methodsAs part of the CNS HIV Anti-Retroviral Therapy Effects Research (CHARTER) study, HIV+ adults completed clinical evaluation and neuropsychological tests every 6 months. Group-based trajectory analysis was used to detect patterns of neurocognitive change; individuals who deteriorated ≥ 0.5 SD on at least one neuropsychological test were considered decliners. Multiple logistic regression was used to identify baseline sociodemographic, clinical, biological, and lifestyle factors associated with decline in the subgroup that was consistently aviremic during the first 3 years. A risk index was developed using the beta-coefficients from the final regression model.

resultsNeurocognitive decline occurred in 23 of 191 (12%) participants followed longitudinally. The baseline factors that predicted decline were glomerular filtration rate ≤50 mL/min, known duration of HIV infection ≥15 years, education ≤12 years, and cerebrospinal fluid protein >45 mg/dL.

conclusionsUsing this analytic approach, neurocognitive decline was uncommon in this sample of aviremic HIV+ individuals. The 3-year risk of decline ranged from 2% in those with no risk factors to 95% in those with all 4. The strongest predictor was glomerular filtration rate, also a predictor of cardiovascular disease. This raises the possibility that controlling vascular risk factors could reduce the risk of neurocognitive decline.

Indexed as

AdultAIDS Dementia ComplexAntiretroviral Therapy, Highly ActiveCardiovascular DiseasesEducational StatusFemaleFollow-Up StudiesGlomerular Filtration RateHIV InfectionsHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedNeuropsychological TestsRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID28797021
PMCPMC12077807

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.