Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28790185›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2017

Asymmetric percolation drives a double transition in sexual contact networks.

Antoine Allard, Benjamin M Althouse, Samuel V Scarpino, Laurent Hébert-Dufresne

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Antoine AllardCentre de Recerca Matemàtica, E-08193 Bellaterra (Barcelona), Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-8208-9920
Benjamin M AlthouseInstitute for Disease Modeling, Bellevue, WA 98005.
Samuel V ScarpinoDepartment of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT 05405.
Laurent Hébert-DufresneInstitute for Disease Modeling, Bellevue, WA 98005; laurent@santafe.edu.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Zika virus (ZIKV) exhibits unique transmission dynamics in that it is concurrently spread by a mosquito vector and through sexual contact. Due to the highly asymmetric durations of infectiousness between males and females-it is estimated that males are infectious for periods up to 10 times longer than females-we show that this sexual component of ZIKV transmission behaves akin to an asymmetric percolation process on the network of sexual contacts. We exactly solve the properties of this asymmetric percolation on random sexual contact networks and show that this process exhibits two epidemic transitions corresponding to a core-periphery structure. This structure is not present in the underlying contact networks, which are not distinguishable from random networks, and emerges because of the asymmetric percolation. We provide an exact analytical description of this double transition and discuss the implications of our results in the context of ZIKV epidemics. Most importantly, our study suggests a bias in our current ZIKV surveillance, because the community most at risk is also one of the least likely to get tested.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsModels, TheoreticalAnimalsComputer SimulationCulicidaeEpidemicsFemaleHumansKineticsMaleMosquito VectorsSexually Transmitted DiseasesZika VirusZika Virus Infectioncomplex networksmathematical epidemiologypercolationphase transitionZika virus

Identifiers

PMID28790185
PMCPMC5576788

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.