Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28789623›Full record

ArticleBMC cancer2017

The cost-effectiveness of active surveillance compared to watchful waiting and radical prostatectomy for low risk localised prostate cancer.

Chunhuan Lao, Richard Edlin, Paul Rouse, Charis Brown, Michael Holmes, Peter Gilling, Ross Lawrenson

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC cancer, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.1field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 27 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Chunhuan LaoNational Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis, The University of Waikato, Level 3 Hockin building, Waikato Hospital, Hamilton, 3240, New Zealand. chunhuan.lao@waikato.ac.nz.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2319-8916
Richard EdlinSchool of Population Health, The University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.
Paul RouseThe University of Auckland Business School, The University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.
Charis BrownNational Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis, The University of Waikato, Hamilton, New Zealand.
Michael HolmesUrology Department, Waikato Hospital, Hamilton, New Zealand.
Peter GillingDepartment of Urology, Tauranga Hospital, Tauranga, New Zealand.
Ross LawrensonNational Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis, The University of Waikato, Hamilton, New Zealand.
University of Auckland · NZUniversity of Waikato · NZWaikato Hospital · NZTauranga Hospital · NZ

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRadical prostatectomy is the most common treatment for localised prostate cancer in New Zealand. Active surveillance was introduced to prevent overtreatment and reduce costs while preserving the option of radical prostatectomy. This study aims to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of active surveillance compared to watchful waiting and radical prostatectomy.

methodsMarkov models were constructed to estimate the life-time cost-effectiveness of active surveillance compared to watchful waiting and radical prostatectomy for low risk localised prostate cancer patients aged 45-70 years, using national datasets in New Zealand and published studies including the SPCG-4 study. This study was from the perspective of the Ministry of Health in New Zealand.

resultsRadical prostatectomy is less costly than active surveillance in men aged 45-55 years with low risk localised prostate cancer, but more costly for men aged 60-70 years. Scenario analyses demonstrated significant uncertainty as to the most cost-effective option in all age groups because of the unavailability of good quality of life data for men under active surveillance. Uncertainties around the likelihood of having radical prostatectomy when managed with active surveillance also affect the cost-effectiveness of active surveillance against radical prostatectomy.

conclusionsActive surveillance is less likely to be cost-effective compared to radical prostatectomy for younger men diagnosed with low risk localised prostate cancer. The cost-effectiveness of active surveillance compared to radical prostatectomy is critically dependent on the 'trigger' for radical prostatectomy and the quality of life in men on active surveillance. Research on the latter would be beneficial.

Indexed as

AgedCombined Modality TherapyCost-Benefit AnalysisDisease ProgressionHealth Care CostsHumansMaleMarkov ChainsMiddle AgedNeoplasm StagingNew ZealandProbabilityProstatectomyProstatic NeoplasmsQuality of LifeWatchful WaitingActive surveillanceCost-effectivenessLow risk localised prostate cancerRadical prostatectomy

Identifiers

PMID28789623
PMCPMC5549326
OpenAlexW2744102331

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.