Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28782036›Full record

ArticleScience advances2017

Deadly heat waves projected in the densely populated agricultural regions of South Asia.

Eun-Soon Im, Jeremy S Pal, Elfatih A B Eltahir

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science advances, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 72 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
72citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

72 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Evaluating the Impact of Heat Stress on Placental Function: A Systematic Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2024
    Pooled it
  2. Spectrally Selective Daytime Radiative Cooling Coating.Advanced materials (Deerfield Beach, Fla.) · 2026
    Article
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  9. Spatiotemporal patterns of urban heat in indoor and outdoor microclimates.Environmental research letters : ERL [Web site] · 2025
    Article
  10. Lethal Heat and Humidity Events.Annual review of environment and resources · 2025
    Article
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12 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Eun-Soon ImDivision of Environment and Sustainability, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Kowloon, Hong Kong.ORCID 0000-0002-8953-7538
Jeremy S PalDepartment of Civil Engineering and Environmental Science, Loyola Marymount University, Los Angeles, CA 90045, USA.
Elfatih A B EltahirRalph M. Parsons Laboratory, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6148-7997

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The risk associated with any climate change impact reflects intensity of natural hazard and level of human vulnerability. Previous work has shown that a wet-bulb temperature of 35°C can be considered an upper limit on human survivability. On the basis of an ensemble of high-resolution climate change simulations, we project that extremes of wet-bulb temperature in South Asia are likely to approach and, in a few locations, exceed this critical threshold by the late 21st century under the business-as-usual scenario of future greenhouse gas emissions. The most intense hazard from extreme future heat waves is concentrated around densely populated agricultural regions of the Ganges and Indus river basins. Climate change, without mitigation, presents a serious and unique risk in South Asia, a region inhabited by about one-fifth of the global human population, due to an unprecedented combination of severe natural hazard and acute vulnerability.

Indexed as

ClimateHot TemperatureVulnerable PopulationsAgricultureAsiaClimate ChangeHumansModels, TheoreticalPopulation DensityPovertySpatio-Temporal AnalysisTemperature

Identifiers

PMID28782036
PMCPMC5540239

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.