ArticleEnvironment international2017
Health impact modelling of different travel patterns on physical activity, air pollution and road injuries for São Paulo, Brazil.
Article in Environment international, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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Who cites it
21 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Socioeconomic and gendered inequities in travel behaviour in Africa: Mixed-method systematic review and meta-ethnography.Social science & medicine (1982) · 2022Pooled it
- Climate Change, Physical Activity and Sport: A Systematic Review.Sports medicine (Auckland, N.Z.) · 2021Pooled it
- Systematic Literature Review of Health Impact Assessments in Low and Middle-Income Countries.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2019Pooled it
- Impact on mortality of pathways to net zero greenhouse gas emissions in England and Wales: a multisectoral modelling study.The Lancet. Planetary health · 2023Article
- The Health Economic Assessment Tool (HEAT) for walking and cycling - experiences from 10 years of application of a health impact assessment tool in policy and practice.Frontiers in sports and active living · 2023Article
- Bayesian multistate modelling of incomplete chronic disease burden data.Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, (Statistics in Society) · 2023Article
- Value of Information Analysis in Models to Inform Health Policy.Annual review of statistics and its application · 2022Article
- The Built Environment and Health in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: a Review on Quantitative Health Impact Assessments.Current environmental health reports · 2022Review
- The Impact of Transport on Population Health and Health Equity for Māori in Aotearoa New Zealand: A Prospective Burden of Disease Study.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Health impacts of changes in travel patterns in Greater Accra Metropolitan Area, Ghana.Environment international · 2021Article
- Air pollution, physical activity and health: A mapping review of the evidence.Environment international · 2021Review
- A guide to value of information methods for prioritising research in health impact modelling.Epidemiologic methods · 2021Article
- Participatory quantitative health impact assessment of urban transport planning: A case study from Eastern Africa.Environment international · 2020Article
- The global diet and activity research (GDAR) network: a global public health partnership to address upstream NCD risk factors in urban low and middle-income contexts.Globalization and health · 2020Article
- Burden of Disease Assessment of Ambient Air Pollution and Premature Mortality in Urban Areas: The Role of Socioeconomic Status and Transportation.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020Article
- Understanding the rise of cardiometabolic diseases in low- and middle-income countries.Nature medicine · 2019Review
- Barriers to investing in cycling: Stakeholder views from England.Transportation research. Part A, Policy and practice · 2019Article
- Contextualising Safety in Numbers: a longitudinal investigation into change in cycling safety in Britain, 1991-2001 and 2001-2011.Injury prevention : journal of the International Society for Child and Adolescent Injury Prevention · 2019Article
- Development of the Impacts of Cycling Tool (ICT): A modelling study and web tool for evaluating health and environmental impacts of cycling uptake.PLoS medicine · 2018Article
- Diesel, children and respiratory disease.BMJ paediatrics open · 2018Review
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
8 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundSão Paulo city, Brazil, faces challenges caused by rapid urbanization. We illustrate how future travel patterns could lead to different health consequences in the city.
methodsWe evaluated the health impacts of different travel pattern scenarios for the São Paulo adult population by comparing the travel patterns of São Paulo in 2012 with counterfactual scenarios in which the city adopted travel patterns of i) those living in the city's expanded centre; ii) London (2012); iii) a highly motorized São Paulo (SP California); and iv) a visionary São Paulo (SP 2040), with high levels of walking and cycling and low levels of car and motorcycle use. For each scenario we estimated changes in exposure to air pollution, road injury risk, and physical activity. Health outcomes were estimated using disability adjusted life years (DALYs) and premature deaths averted. Sensitivity analyses were performed to identify the main sources of uncertainty.
resultsWe found considerable health gains in the SP 2040 scenario (total 63.6k DALYs avoided), with 4.7% of premature deaths from ischemic heart disease avoided from increases in physical activity alone. Conversely, we found substantial health losses in the scenario favouring private transport (SP California, total increase of 54.9k DALYs), with an increase in road traffic deaths and injuries among pedestrians and motorized vehicles. Parameters related to air pollution had the largest impact on uncertainty.
conclusionsShifting travel patterns towards more sustainable transport can provide major health benefits in São Paulo. Reducing the uncertainties in the findings should be a priority for empirical and modelling research on the health impacts of such shifts.
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