ArticleDemography2017
Risk of Developing Dementia at Older Ages in the United States.
Article in Demography, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 37 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
37 citing papers in PubMed.
- APOE ε4 and Accelerated Cognitive Decline Among Cognitively Healthy Middle-Aged and Older Adults.JAMA network open · 2026Article
- Lifetime and 10-year absolute risk of cognitive impairment in relation to amyloid PET severity: a retrospective, longitudinal cohort study.The Lancet. Neurology · 2025Article
- Lifetime risk of incident dementia and incident mild cognitive impairment in older adults.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025Article
- Article
- Association of postoperative delirium with visual acuity after ophthalmic surgeries under local anesthesia.Japanese journal of ophthalmology · 2025Article
- Public attitudes toward dementia risk prediction: A mixed-methods study.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2025Article
- Pharmacotherapy for overactive bladder syndrome and the risk of incident dementia.World journal of urology · 2025Article
- The Social Division of Care Work Time Over Half a Century.Demography · 2025Article
- Feasibility of Telephone-Based Cognitive Assessments and Healthcare Utilization in US Medicare-Enrolled Older Adults Following Emergency Department Discharge.International journal of geriatric psychiatry · 2025Article
- Comparative Evaluation of the Montreal Cognitive Assessment Basic Scale Against the Mini-Mental State Examination for Post-Stroke Cognitive Impairment.Alpha psychiatry · 2025Article
- Association between geriatric nutritional risk index and cognitive function in older adults with/without chronic kidney disease.Brain and behavior · 2024Article
- Effect of Population-Level Blood Pressure Treatment Strategies on Cardiovascular and Cognitive Outcomes.Circulation. Cardiovascular quality and outcomes · 2024Article
- Dementia prevalence among hospitalized older patients: a multicenter study in Iran.Dementia & neuropsychologia · 2024Article
- B vitamin intakes modify the association between particulate air pollutants and incidence of all-cause dementia: Findings from the Women's Health Initiative Memory Study.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2022Article
- Proposing a Scientific and Technological Approach to the Summaries of Clinical Issues of Inpatient Elderly with Delirium: A Viewpoint.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
- Smart-Data-Driven System for Alzheimer Disease Detection through Electroencephalographic Signals.Bioengineering (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
- Precise or Imprecise Probabilities? Evidence from Survey Response Related to Late-Onset Dementia.Journal of the European Economic Association · 2022Article
- Role of DNMTs in the Brain.Advances in experimental medicine and biology · 2022Review
- Long-term associations between amyloid positron emission tomography, sex, apolipoprotein E and incident dementia and mortality among individuals without dementia: hazard ratios and absolute risk.Brain communications · 2022Article
- The Current Landscape of Prevention Trials in Dementia.Neurotherapeutics : the journal of the American Society for Experimental NeuroTherapeutics · 2022Review
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
1 author.
Funding
Abstract
Dementia is increasingly recognized as a major source of disease burden in the United States, yet little research has evaluated the lifecycle implications of dementia. To address this research gap, this article uses the Aging, Demographics, and Memory Study (ADAMS) to provide the first nationally representative, longitudinal estimates of the probability that a dementia-free person will develop dementia later in life. For the 1920 birth cohort, the average dementia-free 70-year-old male had an estimated 26.9 % (SE = 3.2 %) probability of developing dementia, and the average dementia-free 70-year-old female had an estimated 34.7 % (SE = 3.7 %) probability. These estimates of risk of dementia are higher for younger, lower-mortality cohorts and are substantially higher than those found in local epidemiological studies in the United States, suggesting a widespread need to prepare for a life stage with dementia.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.