Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28766208›Full record

ArticleAnnals of surgical oncology2017

Contralateral Breast Cancer Risk in Women with Ductal Carcinoma In Situ: Is it High Enough to Justify Bilateral Mastectomy?

Megan E Miller, Shirin Muhsen, Cristina Olcese, Sujata Patil, Monica Morrow, Kimberly J Van Zee

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of surgical oncology, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  10. Low-risk DCIS. What is it? Observe or excise?Virchows Archiv : an international journal of pathology · 2022
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Megan E MillerBreast Service, Department of Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA.
Shirin MuhsenBreast Service, Department of Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA.
Cristina OlceseBreast Service, Department of Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA.
Sujata PatilDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA.
Monica MorrowBreast Service, Department of Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA.
Kimberly J Van ZeeBreast Service, Department of Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA. vanzeek@mskcc.org.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9550-4647

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI Nicholas D Socci · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748NIH/NCI Cancer Center Support Grant P30 CA008748
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWomen with ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) are increasingly choosing bilateral mastectomy. We sought to quantify rates of contralateral breast cancer (CBC) and ipsilateral breast tumor recurrence (IBTR) after breast-conserving surgery (BCS) for DCIS, and to compare risk factors for CBC and IBTR.

methodsFrom 1978 to 2011, DCIS patients undergoing BCS with a contralateral breast at risk were identified from a prospectively maintained database. The association of clinicopathologic and treatment factors with CBC and IBTR were evaluated using Kaplan-Meier analysis, multivariable Cox regression, and competing risk regression (CRR).

resultsOf 2759 patients identified, 151 developed CBC and 344 developed IBTR. Five- and 10-year Kaplan-Meier CBC rates were 3.2 and 6.4%. Overall, 10-year IBTR rates were 2.5-fold higher than CBC rates, and, without radiation, 4-fold higher. On CRR, 5- and 10-year rates were 2.9 and 5.8% for CBC, and 7.8 and 14.5% for IBTR. CBC risk and invasive CBC risk were not significantly associated with age, family history, presentation, nuclear grade, year of surgery, or radiation. By multivariable Cox regression, endocrine therapy was associated with lower CBC risk (hazard ratio 0.57, p = 0.03). Ten-year risk of subsequent CBC in the subset of patients who developed IBTR was similar to the cohort as a whole (8.1 vs. 6.4%).

conclusionsCBC rates were low across all groups, including those who experienced IBTR. CBC was not associated with factors that increase IBTR risk. While factors associated with IBTR risk are important in decision making regarding management of the index DCIS, they are not an indication for contralateral prophylactic mastectomy.

Indexed as

Breast NeoplasmsCarcinoma, Intraductal, NoninfiltratingFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMastectomyMiddle AgedNeoplasm InvasivenessNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalPrognosisProspective StudiesRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID28766208
PMCPMC5728655

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.