Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28754972›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2017

The Association of Ambient Temperature and Violent Crime.

Jari Tiihonen, Pirjo Halonen, Laura Tiihonen, Hannu Kautiainen, Markus Storvik, James Callaway

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 44 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
44citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
4.1field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

44 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 132 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Jari TiihonenDepartment of Forensic Psychiatry, University of Eastern Finland, Niuvanniemi Hospital, FI-70240, Kuopio, Finland. jari.tiihonen@niuva.fi.
Pirjo HalonenUniversity of Jyväskylä, FI-40014, Jyväskylän yliopisto, Jyväskylä, Finland.
Laura TiihonenUniversity of Tampere, FI-33100, Tampere, Finland.
Hannu KautiainenUnit of Primary Care, Helsinki University Central Hospital, and Department of General Practice, University of Helsinki, FI-00014, Helsingin yliopisto, Helsinki, Finland.
Markus StorvikDepartment of Pharmacology and Toxicology, University of Eastern Finland, FI-70211, Kuopio, Finland.
James CallawayDepartment of Pharmaceutical Chemistry, University of Eastern Finland, FI-70211, Kuopio, Finland.
University of Eastern Finland · FITampere University · FIUniversity of Helsinki · FIUniversity of Jyväskylä · FI

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

It is controversial if global warming will result into increased crime and conflict rate, and no causal neurobiological mechanisms have been proposed for the putative association between ambient temperature and aggressive behavior. This study shows that during 1996-2013, ambient temperature explained 10% of variance in the violent crime rate in Finland, corresponding to a 1.7% increase/degree centigrade. Ambient temperature also correlated with a one month delay in circannual changes in peripheral serotonin transporter density among both offenders and healthy control subjects, which itself correlated strongly with the monthly violent crime rate. This suggests that rise in temperature modulates serotonergic transmission which may increase impulsivity and general human activity level, resulting into increase in social interaction and risk of violent incidents. Together, these results suggest that the effect of ambient temperature on occurrence of violent crime is partly mediated through the serotonergic system, and that a 2 °C increase in average temperatures would increase violent crime rates by more than 3% in non-tropical and non-subtropical areas, if other contributing factors remained constant.

Indexed as

TemperatureAdultCrimeCriminalsHumansMaleSerotoninSerotonin Plasma Membrane Transport ProteinsViolenceSerotoninSerotonin Plasma Membrane Transport Proteins

Identifiers

PMID28754972
PMCPMC5533778
OpenAlexW2736929962

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.