Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28750578›Full record

ArticleStatistical methods in medical research2019

Dynamic predictions in Bayesian functional joint models for longitudinal and time-to-event data: An application to Alzheimer's disease.

Kan Li, Sheng Luo

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Statistical methods in medical research, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 28 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
28citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

28 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  10. tdCoxSNN: Time-dependent Cox survival neural network for continuous-time dynamic prediction.Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C, Applied statistics · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Kan LiDepartment of Biostatistics, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, Houston, USA.
Sheng LuoDepartment of Biostatistics, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, Houston, USA.

Funding

Parkinson's Disease Clinical Trial: Statistical CenterU01NS043127 · NINDS · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS HLTH SCI CTR HOUSTON · PI LUO, SHENG · 2001 to 2015
$8.0M
Statistical Methods for Clinical Trials with Multivariate Longitudinal OutcomesR01NS091307 · NINDS · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS HLTH SCI CTR HOUSTON · PI LUO, SHENG · 2015 to 2018
$1.2M
NINDS NIH HHS R01 NS091307NINDS NIH HHS U01 NS043127
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In the study of Alzheimer's disease, researchers often collect repeated measurements of clinical variables, event history, and functional data. If the health measurements deteriorate rapidly, patients may reach a level of cognitive impairment and are diagnosed as having dementia. An accurate prediction of the time to dementia based on the information collected is helpful for physicians to monitor patients' disease progression and to make early informed medical decisions. In this article, we first propose a functional joint model to account for functional predictors in both longitudinal and survival submodels in the joint modeling framework. We then develop a Bayesian approach for parameter estimation and a dynamic prediction framework for predicting the subjects' future outcome trajectories and risk of dementia, based on their scalar and functional measurements. The proposed Bayesian functional joint model provides a flexible framework to incorporate many features both in joint modeling of longitudinal and survival data and in functional data analysis. Our proposed model is evaluated by a simulation study and is applied to the motivating Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative study.

Indexed as

Bayes TheoremDisease ProgressionNeuroimagingAlzheimer DiseaseHumansLongitudinal StudiesMarkov ChainsModels, StatisticalMonte Carlo MethodAlzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative studyfunctional data analysisMarkov Chain Monte Carlopenalized B-splinepersonalized prediction

Identifiers

PMID28750578
PMCPMC5557714

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.