Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28741307›Full record

ArticleHepatology (Baltimore, Md.)2017

Modeling cost-effectiveness and health gains of a "universal" versus "prioritized" hepatitis C virus treatment policy in a real-life cohort.

Loreta A Kondili, Federica Romano, Francesca Romana Rolli, Matteo Ruggeri, Stefano Rosato, Maurizia Rossana Brunetto, Anna Linda Zignego, Alessia Ciancio, Alfredo Di Leo, Giovanni Raimondo and 32 more

Open access · hybridAbstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in Hepatology (Baltimore, Md.), 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.6field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 29 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Screening strategy to advance HCV elimination in Italy: a cost-consequence analysis.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2024
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Optimizing diagnostic algorithms to advance Hepatitis C elimination in Italy: A cost effectiveness evaluation.Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver · 2022
    Article
  6. The impact of direct acting antivirals on hepatitis C virus disease burden and associated costs in four european countries.Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver · 2021
    Article
  7. Optimization of hepatitis C virus screening strategies by birth cohort in Italy.Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver · 2020
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Forecasting Hepatitis C liver disease burden on real-life data. Does the hidden iceberg matter to reach the elimination goals?Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver · 2018
    Article
  11. Economic evaluation of Zepatier for the management of HCV in the Italian scenario.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2018
    Article
  12. Expanding treatment for hepatitis C in Canada.CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2018
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

42 authors at 20 institutions in 2 countries.

Loreta A KondiliIstituto Superiore di Sanità, Rome, Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-2656-224X
Federica RomanoCatholic University, Rome, Italy.
Francesca Romana RolliCatholic University, Rome, Italy.
Matteo RuggeriCatholic University, Rome, Italy.
Stefano RosatoIstituto Superiore di Sanità, Rome, Italy.
Maurizia Rossana BrunettoUniversity of Pisa, Pisa, Italy.
Anna Linda ZignegoUniversity of Florence, Florence, Italy.
Alessia CiancioUniversity of Turin, Turin, Italy.
Alfredo Di LeoUniversity of Bari, Bari, Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-2026-1200
Giovanni RaimondoUniversity Hospital of Messina, Messina, Italy.
Carlo FerrariAzienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria di Parma, Parma, Italy.
Gloria TalianiSapienza University of Rome, Rome, Italy.
Guglielmo BorgiaUniversity of Naples Federico II, Naples, Italy.
Teresa Antonia SantantonioUniversity of Foggia, Foggia, Italy.
Pierluigi BlancOspedale Santa Maria Annunziata, Florence, Italy.
Giovanni Battista GaetaSecond University of Naples, Naples, Italy.
Antonio GasbarriniCatholic University, Rome, Italy.
Luchino ChessaUniversity of Cagliari, Cagliari, Italy.
Elke Maria ErneUniversity of Padua, Padua, Italy.
Erica VillaUniversity of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-6388-7022
Donatella IeluzziAzienda Ospedaliero Universitaria di Verona, Verona, Italy.
Francesco Paolo RussoUniversity of Padua, Padua, Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-4127-8941
Pietro AndreoneUniversity of Bologna, Bologna, Italy.
Maria VinciNiguarda Ca' Granda Hospital, Milan, Italy.
Carmine CoppolaGragnano Hospital, Naples, Italy.
Liliana ChemelloUniversity of Padua, Padua, Italy.
Salvatore MadoniaCervello Hospital, Palermo, Italy.
Gabriella VerucchiUniversity of Bologna, Bologna, Italy.
Marcello PersicoUniversity of Salerno, Salerno, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-1399-6498
Massimo ZuinUniversity of Milan, Milan, Italy.
Massimo PuotiNiguarda Ca' Granda Hospital, Milan, Italy.
Alfredo AlbertiUniversity of Padua, Padua, Italy.
Gerardo NardoneSecond University of Naples, Naples, Italy.
Marco MassariIRCSS-Azienda Ospedaliera Santa Maria Nuova, Reggio Emilia, Italy.
Giuseppe MontaltoUniversity of Palermo, Palermo, Italy.
Giuseppe FotiBianchi Melacrino-Morelli Hospital, Reggio Calabria, Italy.
Maria Grazia RumiUniversity of Milan, Milan, Italy.
Maria Giovanna QuarantaIstituto Superiore di Sanità, Rome, Italy.
Americo CicchettiCatholic University, Rome, Italy.
Antonio CraxìUniversity of Palermo, Palermo, Italy.
Stefano VellaIstituto Superiore di Sanità, Rome, Italy.
PITER Collaborating Group
Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore · ITIstituto Superiore di Sanità · ITUniversity of Padua · ITCatholic University of America · USAzienda Socio Sanitaria Territoriale Grande Ospedale Metropolitano Niguarda · ITUniversity of Bologna · ITUniversity of Campania "Luigi Vanvitelli" · ITUniversity of Messina · ITUniversity of Milan · ITAzienda ospedaliera "Bianchi-Melacrino-Morelli" · ITAzienda Ospedaliera S.Maria · ITOspedale di Parma · ITOspedale Santa Maria Annunziata · ITOspedale Vincenzo Cervello · ITSapienza University of Rome · ITUniversity of Bari Aldo Moro · ITUniversity of Cagliari · ITUniversity of Florence · ITUniversity of Foggia · ITUniversity of Modena and Reggio Emilia · IT

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of two alternative direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment policies in a real-life cohort of hepatitis C virus-infected patients: policy 1, "universal," treat all patients, regardless of fibrosis stage; policy 2, treat only "prioritized" patients, delay treatment of the remaining patients until reaching stage F3. A liver disease progression Markov model, which used a lifetime horizon and health care system perspective, was applied to the PITER cohort (representative of Italian hepatitis C virus-infected patients in care). Specifically, 8,125 patients naive to DAA treatment, without clinical, sociodemographic, or insurance restrictions, were used to evaluate the policies' cost-effectiveness. The patients' age and fibrosis stage, assumed DAA treatment cost of €15,000/patient, and the Italian liver disease costs were used to evaluate quality-adjusted life-years (QALY) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) of policy 1 versus policy 2. To generalize the results, a European scenario analysis was performed, resampling the study population, using the mean European country-specific health states costs and mean treatment cost of €30,000. For the Italian base-case analysis, the cost-effective ICER obtained using policy 1 was €8,775/QALY. ICERs remained cost-effective in 94%-97% of the 10,000 probabilistic simulations. For the European treatment scenario the ICER obtained using policy 1 was €19,541.75/QALY. ICER was sensitive to variations in DAA costs, in the utility value of patients in fibrosis stages F0-F3 post-sustained virological response, and in the transition probabilities from F0 to F3. The ICERs decrease with decreasing DAA prices, becoming cost-saving for the base price (€15,000) discounts of at least 75% applied in patients with F0-F2 fibrosis.

conclusionExtending hepatitis C virus treatment to patients in any fibrosis stage improves health outcomes and is cost-effective; cost-effectiveness significantly increases when lowering treatment prices in early fibrosis stages. (Hepatology 2017;66:1814-1825).

Indexed as

Models, EconomicAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAntiviral AgentsCohort StudiesCost-Benefit AnalysisHealth PolicyHepatitis CHumansMiddle AgedYoung AdultAntiviral Agents

Identifiers

PMID28741307
PMCPMC5765396
OpenAlexW2737498952

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.