Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28729711›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2017

An ecological and digital epidemiology analysis on the role of human behavior on the 2014 Chikungunya outbreak in Martinique.

Benjamin Roche, Béatrice Gaillard, Lucas Léger, Renélise Pélagie-Moutenda, Thomas Sochacki, Bernard Cazelles, Martine Ledrans, Alain Blateau, Didier Fontenille, Manuel Etienne and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

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  3. The Impact of Temperature on the Risk of COVID-19: A Multinational Study.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Benjamin RocheUMI IRD/UPMC 209 UMMISCO, Paris, France. benjamin.roche@ird.fr.ORCID 0000-0001-7975-4232
Béatrice GaillardMIVEGEC, Université de Montpellier, IRD, CNRS, Montpellier, France.
Lucas LégerMIVEGEC, Université de Montpellier, IRD, CNRS, Montpellier, France.
Renélise Pélagie-MoutendaCentre de Démoustication/Lutte antivectorielle CTM/ARS, Martinique, France.
Thomas SochackiUMI IRD/UPMC 209 UMMISCO, Paris, France.
Bernard CazellesUMI IRD/UPMC 209 UMMISCO, Paris, France.
Martine LedransCIRE Antilles-Guyanes, Fort de France, Martinique, France.
Alain BlateauCIRE Antilles-Guyanes, Fort de France, Martinique, France.
Didier FontenilleMIVEGEC, Université de Montpellier, IRD, CNRS, Montpellier, France.
Manuel EtienneCentre de Démoustication/Lutte antivectorielle CTM/ARS, Martinique, France.
Frédéric SimardMIVEGEC, Université de Montpellier, IRD, CNRS, Montpellier, France.
Marcel SalathéSchool of Life Sciences and School of Computer and Communication Sciences - École polytechnique fédérale de Lausanne, EPFL, Lausanne, Switzerland.
André YébakimaCentre de Démoustication/Lutte antivectorielle CTM/ARS, Martinique, France.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Understanding the spatio-temporal dynamics of endemic infections is of critical importance for a deeper understanding of pathogen transmission, and for the design of more efficient public health strategies. However, very few studies in this domain have focused on emerging infections, generating a gap of knowledge that hampers epidemiological response planning. Here, we analyze the case of a Chikungunya outbreak that occurred in Martinique in 2014. Using time series estimates from a network of sentinel practitioners covering the entire island, we first analyze the spatio-temporal dynamics and show that the largest city has served as the epicenter of this epidemic. We further show that the epidemic spread from there through two different propagation waves moving northwards and southwards, probably by individuals moving along the road network. We then develop a mathematical model to explore the drivers of the temporal dynamics of this mosquito-borne virus. Finally, we show that human behavior, inferred by a textual analysis of messages published on the social network Twitter, is required to explain the epidemiological dynamics over time. Overall, our results suggest that human behavior has been a key component of the outbreak propagation, and we argue that such results can lead to more efficient public health strategies specifically targeting the propagation process.

Indexed as

BehaviorDisease OutbreaksChikungunya FeverHumansMartiniqueModels, BiologicalSpatio-Temporal Analysis

Identifiers

PMID28729711
PMCPMC5519737

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.