ArticleScientific reports2017
Asymptomatic Transmission and the Dynamics of Zika Infection.
Article in Scientific reports, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 28 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
28 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Pooled it
- Prevalence of Zika virus in blood donations: a systematic review and meta-analysis.BMC infectious diseases · 2019Pooled it
- How Asymptomatic Transmission Influences Mitigation and Suppression Strategies during a Pandemic.Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · 2023Article
- Natural Aedes-Borne Virus Infection Detected in Male Adult Aedes aegypti (Diptera: Culicidae) Collected From Urban Settings in Mérida, Yucatán, México.Journal of medical entomology · 2022Article
- Data-driven scenario-based model projections and management of the May 2021 COVID-19 resurgence in India.PLOS global public health · 2022Article
- Article
- Social determinants associated with Zika virus infection in pregnant women.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2021Article
- Replication Variance of African and Asian Lineage Zika Virus Strains in Different Cell Lines, Mosquitoes and Mice.Microorganisms · 2021Article
- Mass Testing and Proactiveness Affect Epidemic Spreading.Journal of the Indian Institute of Science · 2021Review
- A Review:Pathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2020Review
- Cost-effectiveness of Prophylactic Zika Virus Vaccine in the Americas.Emerging infectious diseases · 2019Article
- [Epidemic and emerging prone-infectious diseases: Lessons learned and ways forward].Presse medicale (Paris, France : 1983) · 2019Review
- Article
- Spatiotemporal multi-disease transmission dynamic measure for emerging diseases: an application to dengue and zika integrated surveillance in Thailand.BMC medical research methodology · 2019Article
- Identifying Protective Health Behaviors on Twitter: Observational Study of Travel Advisories and Zika Virus.Journal of medical Internet research · 2019Observational
- Understanding the survival of Zika virus in a vector interconnected sexual contact network.Scientific reports · 2019Article
- Article
- Transcriptome Profiling Reveals Pro-Inflammatory Cytokines and Matrix Metalloproteinase Activation in Zika Virus Infected Human Umbilical Vein Endothelial Cells.Frontiers in pharmacology · 2019Article
- Review
- ZIKV Demonstrates Minimal Pathologic Effects and Mosquito Infectivity in Viremic Cynomolgus Macaques.Viruses · 2018Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
8 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Following the 2013-14 outbreak in French Polynesia, the Zika virus (ZIKV) epidemic spread widely to many countries where Aedes Aegypti as the main transmitting vector is endemic. The lack of a second wave of ZIKV infection in most affected regions may suggest that a sufficiently high level of herd immunity was reached during the first wave. We developed an agent-based transmission model to investigate the role of asymptomatic infection on the likelihood of observing a second wave, while accounting for its relative transmissibility. We found that, as the relative transmissibility of asymptomatic infection increases, a second wave is more likely to occur, despite an increase in the attack rate during the first wave. When the reproduction number varies between 1.9 and 2.8 based on estimates for Antioquia, Colombia, the attack rate varies between 4% and 26% for a low (below 10%) effectiveness of interventions in blunting the ZIKV transmission from symptomatic cases to mosquitoes. Moreover, the fraction of cases due to sexual transmission is estimated below 4% of the cumulative incidence. Our analyses underscore the need to quantify the transmissibility of asymptomatic infections, without which the overall attack rates and the level of herd immunity cannot be accurately estimated.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.