ArticleEnvironmental health perspectives2017
Heat-Related Mortality in Japan after the 2011 Fukushima Disaster: An Analysis of Potential Influence of Reduced Electricity Consumption.
Article in Environmental health perspectives, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
5 citing papers in PubMed.
- Heat-related mortality and ambulance transport after a power outage in the Tokyo metropolitan area.Environmental epidemiology (Philadelphia, Pa.) · 2024Article
- Indoor overheating: A review of vulnerabilities, causes, and strategies to prevent adverse human health outcomes during extreme heat events.Temperature (Austin, Tex.) · 2024Review
- COVID-19 pandemic modifies temperature and heat-related illness ambulance transport association in Japan: a nationwide observational study.Environmental health : a global access science source · 2021Observational
- Impacts of COVID-19 related stay-at-home restrictions on residential electricity use and implications for future grid stability.Energy and buildings · 2021Article
- Air Conditioning Use and Heat-Related Deaths: How a Natural Disaster Presented a Unique Research Opportunity.Environmental health perspectives · 2017Article
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Abstract
backgroundIn March 2011, the Great East Japan Earthquake devastated several power stations and caused severe electricity shortages. This accident was followed by the implementation of policies to reduce summer electricity consumption in the affected areas, for example, by limiting air-conditioning (AC) use. This provided a natural experimental scenario to investigate if these policies were associated with an increase in heat-related mortality.
objectivesWe examined whether the reduced electricity consumption in warm season modified heat-related mortality from 2008 to 2012.
methodsWe conducted prefecture-specific interrupted time-series (ITS) analyses to compare temperature-mortality associations before and after the earthquake, and used meta-analysis to generate combined effect estimates for the most affected and less affected areas (prefectures with >10% or ≤10% reductions in electricity consumption, respectively). We then examined whether the temperature-mortality association in Tokyo, one of the most affected areas, was modified by the percent reduction in electricity consumption relative to expected consumption for comparable days before the earthquake.
resultsContrary to expectations, we estimated a 5-9% reduction in all-cause heat-related mortality after the earthquake in the 15 prefectures with the greatest reduction in electricity consumption, and little change in the other prefectures. However, the percent reduction in observed vs. expected daily electricity consumption after the earthquake did not significantly modify daily heat-related mortality in Tokyo.
conclusionsIn the prefectures with the greatest reductions in electricity consumption, heat-related mortality decreased rather than increased following the Great East Japan Earthquake. Additional research is needed to determine whether this finding holds for other populations and regions, and to clarify its implications for policies to reduce the consequences of climate change on health. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP493.
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