ArticleInfectious diseases of poverty2017
Risk assessment of malaria transmission at the border area of China and Myanmar.
Article in Infectious diseases of poverty, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.
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16 citing papers in PubMed.
- Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of imported malaria patients admitted to a specialized hospital: a retrospective study (2021- June 2026).Frontiers in cellular and infection microbiology · 2026Observational
- Risk factors for contracting malaria in six wards of Mudzi District, Zimbabwe: A case control-study.PloS one · 2025Article
- Risk assessment of imported malaria in China: a machine learning perspective.BMC public health · 2024Article
- Assessing the spatiotemporal malaria transmission intensity with heterogeneous risk factors: A modeling study in Cambodia.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2023Article
- Key takeaways from China's success in eliminating malaria: leveraging existing evidence for a malaria-free world.BMJ global health · 2022Article
- Climate Change and Vector-Borne Diseases in China: A Review of Evidence and Implications for Risk Management.Biology · 2022Review
- A retrospective analysis of malaria epidemiological characteristics in Yingjiang County on the China-Myanmar border.Scientific reports · 2021Article
- Accessing the syndemic of COVID-19 and malaria intervention in Africa.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2021Article
- Are Vulnerable Communities Thoroughly Informed on Mosquito Bio-Ecology and Burden?International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020Article
- Malaria Risk Map Using Spatial Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis along Yunnan Border During the Pre-elimination Period.The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene · 2020Article
- Inference and prediction of malaria transmission dynamics using time series data.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2020Article
- Spatiotemporal Trends of Malaria in Relation to Economic Development and Cross-Border Movement along the China-Myanmar Border in Yunnan Province.The Korean journal of parasitology · 2020Article
- Tracking progress towards malaria elimination in China: Individual-level estimates of transmission and its spatiotemporal variation using a diffusion network approach.PLoS computational biology · 2020Article
- A framework for assessing local transmission risk of imported malaria cases.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2019Article
- Whole-genome sequencing and analysis of Plasmodium falciparum isolates from China-Myanmar border area.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2018Article
- Ready for malaria elimination: zero indigenous case reported in the People's Republic of China.Malaria journal · 2018Review
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6 authors.
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Abstract
backgroundIn order to achieve the goal of malaria elimination, the Chinese government launched the National Malaria Elimination Programme in 2010. However, as a result of increasing cross-border population movements, the risk of imported malaria cases still exists at the border areas of China, resulting in a potential threat of local transmission. The focus of this paper is to assess the Plasmodium vivax incidences in Tengchong, Yunnan Province, at the border areas of China and Myanmar.
methodsTime series of P. vivax incidences in Tengchong from 2006 to 2010 are collected from the web-based China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention, which are further separated into time series of imported and local cases. First, the seasonal and trend decomposition are performed on time series of imported cases using Loess method. Then, the impact of climatic factors on the local transmission of P. vivax is assessed using both linear regression models (LRM) and generalized additive models (GAM). Specifically, the notion of vectorial capacity (VCAP) is used to estimate the transmission potential of P. vivax at different locations, which is calculated based on temperature and rainfall collected from China Meteorological Administration.
resultsComparing with Ruili County, the seasonal pattern of imported cases in Tengchong is different: Tengchong has only one peak, while Ruili has two peaks during each year. This may be due to the different cross-border behaviors of peoples in two locations. The vectorial capacity together with the imported cases and the average humidity, can well explain the local incidences of P. vivax through both LRM and GAM methods. Moreover, the maximum daily temperature is verified to be more suitable to calculate VCAP than the minimal and average temperature in Tengchong County.
conclusionTo achieve malaria elimination in China, the assessment results in this paper will provide further guidance in active surveillance and control of malaria at the border areas of China and Myanmar.
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