Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28679165›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of epidemiology2018

Joint Effects of Age, Period, and Cohort on Conduct Problems Among American Adolescents From 1991 Through 2015.

Katherine M Keyes, Dahsan S Gary, Jordan Beardslee, Seth J Prins, Patrick M O'Malley, Caroline Rutherford, John Schulenberg

Abstract readHistorical Article
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of epidemiology, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Temporal change in the prevalence and etiology of youth antisocial behavior.Journal of psychopathology and clinical science · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Katherine M KeyesDepartment of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, New York.
Dahsan S GaryDepartment of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, New York.
Jordan BeardsleeDepartment of Psychiatry, School of Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Seth J PrinsDepartment of Sociomedical Sciences, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, New York.
Patrick M O'MalleyInstitute for Social Research, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan.
Caroline RutherfordDepartment of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, New York.
John SchulenbergInstitute for Social Research, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan.

Funding

Monitoring the Future: Drug Use & Lifestyles of American Youth (Supp1: Nicotine Pouch and E-cigarette Use Among US Adolescents: National Estimates of Brand Use and Flavor Preferences)R01DA001411 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Richard A Miech · 1985 to 2026
$144.9M
Monitoring the Future: A Cohort-Sequential Panel Study of Drug Use, Ages 19-65 - Diversity Supplement (Solberg)R01DA016575 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Megan E. Patrick · 2003 to 2026
$44.6M
Training Program on HIV and Substance Use in the Criminal Justice SystemT32DA037801 · NIDA · COLUMBIA UNIV NEW YORK MORNINGSIDE · PI Nabila El-Bassel, Lisa R Metsch · 2014 to 2026
$5.7M
INTERDISCIPLINARY ALCOHOL RESEARCH TRAINING PROGRAMT32AA007453 · NIAAA · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI BROOKE S.G. MOLINA · 1985 to 2026
$3.7M
NIAAA NIH HHS T32 AA007453NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA001411NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA016575NIDA NIH HHS T32 DA037801
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Although arrest rates among juveniles have substantially decreased since the 1990s, US national trends in conduct problems are unknown. Population variation in conduct problems would imply changes in the social environment, which would include emergent or receding risk factors. In the present study, we separated age, period, and cohort effects on conduct problems using nationally representative surveys of 375,879 US students conducted annually (1991-2015). The summed score of 7 items measuring the frequency of conduct problems was the outcome. Conduct problems have decreased during the past 25 years among boys; the total amount of the decrease was approximately 0.4 standard deviations (P < 0.01), and by item prevalence, the total amount of the decrease was 8%-11%. Declines are best explained by period effects beginning approximately in 2008, and a declining cohort effect beginning among those born after 1992, which suggests not only declines in population levels, but more rapid declines among younger cohorts of boys. Trends were also consistent with age-period-cohort effects on evenings spent out, which suggest a possible mechanism. Conduct problems among girls were lower than boys and did not demonstrate trends across time. These changes may reflect the changing nature of adolescence toward less unsupervised interaction.

Indexed as

Age FactorsTime FactorsAdolescentCohort StudiesConduct DisorderFemaleHistory, 20th CenturyHistory, 21st CenturyHumansMalePrevalenceRisk FactorsSex FactorsUnited States

Identifiers

PMID28679165
PMCPMC5860025

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.