ArticleJournal of research in health sciences2017
Suicide Mortality Trends in Four Provinces of Iran with the Highest Mortality, from 2006-2016.
Article in Journal of research in health sciences, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
23 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- The Pooled Prevalence of Attributed Factors of Suicide in Iran: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.Archives of Iranian medicine · 2025Pooled it
- Comprehensive Analysis of Modifiable Global Risk Factors for Low Back Pain.Journal of pain research · 2026Article
- Trend Analysis of Suicide Mortality and Years of Life Lost from 2012 to 2023 in Khuzestan Province, Iran: A Cross-sectional Study.Journal of research in health sciences · 2026Article
- Global temporal trends and projections of epilepsy in women of childbearing age: insights from the global burden of disease study 2021.Neurological sciences : official journal of the Italian Neurological Society and of the Italian Society of Clinical Neurophysiology · 2025Article
- Determining the factors associated with suicidal thoughts in outpatients referred to a specialized psychiatric facility.PCN reports : psychiatry and clinical neurosciences · 2025Article
- The effect of COVID-19 on completed suicide rate in Iran: an Interrupted Time Series study (ITS).Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Temporal trends and future projections of cysticercosis-induced epilepsy: insights from the global burden of disease study 2021- a cross-sectional study.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Global impact of Occupational Noise-Induced Hearing Loss (ONIHL): trends, gender disparities, and future projections: 1990-2036.Frontiers in global women's health · 2025Article
- Neck pain burden in China and G20 countries: an analysis of 1990-2021 with a 30-year forecast for China.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Comparative analysis and forecast of spinal cord injury burden in BRICS countries (1990-2021): insights from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Trend Analysis of Suicide Mortality and Years of Life Lost from 2016 to 2021 in Southern Iran.Iranian journal of public health · 2024Article
- Analysis and comparison of the trends in burden of spinal cord injury in China and worldwide from 1990 to 2021: an analysis of the global burden of disease study 2021.Frontiers in public health · 2024Article
- Development, Validation, and Cross Cultural Adoption of Persian Version of Behavioral Risk Factor Tool.Medical journal of the Islamic Republic of Iran · 2024Article
- Suicide Attempt and Suicide Death in Iran: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis Study.Iranian journal of psychiatry · 2023Review
- Spatiotemporal clustering of suicide attempt in Kermanshah, West-Iran.Frontiers in psychiatry · 2023Article
- Trend dynamics of gout prevalence among the Chinese population, 1990-2019: A joinpoint and age-period-cohort analysis.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
- Exploring the epidemiology of suicide attempts: Risk modeling in Kermanshah-Iran.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
- Spatial heterogeneity in gender and age of fatal suicide in Iran.Journal of research in health sciences · 2021Article
- The Suicide Rate in the Elderly Population of Iran between 2008 and 2014.Journal of research in health sciences · 2020Article
- Time Series Analysis of Monthly Suicide Rates in West of Iran, 2006-2013.International journal of preventive medicine · 2019Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundSuicide is a major cause of unnatural deaths in the world. Its incidence is higher in western provinces of Iran. So far, there has not been any time series analysis of suicide in western provinces. The purpose of this study was to analyze suicide mortality data from 2006 to 2016 as well as to forecast the number of suicides for 2017 in four provinces of Iran (Ilam, Kermanshah and Lorestan and Kohgiluyeh and Boyer-Ahmad). STUDY
designDescriptive-analytic study.
methodsData were analyzed by time- series analysis using R software. Three automatic methods (Auto.arima, ETS (Error Transitional Seasonality) and time series linear model (TSLM)) were fitted on the data. The best model after cross validation according to the mean absolute error measure was selected for forecasting.
resultsTotally, 7004 suicidal deaths occurred of which, 4259 were male and 2745 were female. The mean age of the study population was (32.05 ± 15.48 yr). Hanging and self-immolation were the most frequent types of suicide in men and women, respectively. The maximum and minimum number of suicides was occurred in July and August as well as January respectively.
conclusionsIt is suggested that intervention measures should be designed in order to decrease the suicide rate particularly in the age group of 15-29 yr, and implemented as a pilot study, especially in these four provinces of Iran, which have a relatively high suicide rate.
Indexed as
Identifiers
28676594PMC7189910What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.