Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28676108›Full record

ArticleMalaria journal2017

Incidence, prevalence and mortality rates of malaria in Ethiopia from 1990 to 2015: analysis of the global burden of diseases 2015.

Amare Deribew, Tariku Dejene, Biruck Kebede, Gizachew Assefa Tessema, Yohannes Adama Melaku, Awoke Misganaw, Teshome Gebre, Asrat Hailu, Sibhatu Biadgilign, Alemayehu Amberbir and 15 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Malaria journal, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 60 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
60citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

60 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Health-related quality of life due to malaria: a systematic review.Quality of life research : an international journal of quality of life aspects of treatment, care and rehabilitation · 2025
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  18. Burden of Malaria in Sao Tome and Principe, 1990-2019: Findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

25 authors.

Amare DeribewSt. Paul Millennium Medical College, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. amare.deribew@gmail.com.
Tariku DejeneCenter for Population Studies, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Biruck KebedeFederal Ministry of Health, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Gizachew Assefa TessemaDepartment Reproductive Health, Institute of Public Health, University of Gondar, Gondar, Ethiopia.
Yohannes Adama MelakuSchool of Medicine, The University of Adelaide, Adelaide, SA, Australia.
Awoke MisganawInstitute of Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, USA.
Teshome GebreInternational Trachoma Initiative, The Task Force for Global Health, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Asrat HailuSchool of Medicine, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Sibhatu BiadgilignWorld Health Organization, Kampala, Uganda.
Alemayehu AmberbirDignitas International, Medical and Research Department, Zomba, Malawi.
Biruck Desalegn YirsawUniversity of South Australia, Adelaide, Australia.
Amanuel Alemu AbajobirSchool of Public Health, The University of Queensland, St Lucia, QLD, Australia.
Oumer ShafiRollins Schools of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, USA.
Semaw F AberaSchool of Public Health, Mekelle University, Mekelle, Ethiopia.
Nebiyu NegussuFederal Ministry of Health, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Belete MengistuFederal Ministry of Health, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Azmeraw T AmareSchool of Medicine, The University of Adelaide, Adelaide, SA, Australia.
Abate MulugetaWorld Health Organization, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Birhan MengistuFederal Ministry of Health, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Zerihun TadesseThe Carter Centre, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Mesfin SileshiFederal Ministry of Health, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Elizabeth CromwellInstitute of Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, USA.
Scott D GlennInstitute of Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, USA.
Kebede DeribeWellcome Trust Brighton and Sussex Centre for Global Health Research, Brighton and Sussex Medical School, Falmer, Brighton, UK.
Jeffrey D StanawayInstitute of Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, USA.

Funding

Wellcome Trust 201900Wellcome Trust 201900/Z/16/ZWorld Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn Ethiopia there is no complete registration system to measure disease burden and risk factors accurately. In this study, the 2015 global burden of diseases, injuries and risk factors (GBD) data were used to analyse the incidence, prevalence and mortality rates of malaria in Ethiopia over the last 25 years.

methodsGBD 2015 used verbal autopsy surveys, reports, and published scientific articles to estimate the burden of malaria in Ethiopia. Age and gender-specific causes of death for malaria were estimated using cause of death ensemble modelling.

resultsThe number of new cases of malaria declined from 2.8 million [95% uncertainty interval (UI) 1.4-4.5 million] in 1990 to 621,345 (95% UI 462,230-797,442) in 2015. Malaria caused an estimated 30,323 deaths (95% UI 11,533.3-61,215.3) in 1990 and 1561 deaths (95% UI 752.8-2660.5) in 2015, a 94.8% reduction over the 25 years. Age-standardized mortality rate of malaria has declined by 96.5% between 1990 and 2015 with an annual rate of change of 13.4%. Age-standardized malaria incidence rate among all ages and gender declined by 88.7% between 1990 and 2015. The number of disability-adjusted life years lost (DALY) due to malaria decreased from 2.2 million (95% UI 0.76-4.7 million) in 1990 to 0.18 million (95% UI 0.12-0.26 million) in 2015, with a total reduction 91.7%. Similarly, age-standardized DALY rate declined by 94.8% during the same period.

conclusionsEthiopia has achieved a 50% reduction target of malaria of the millennium development goals. The country should strengthen its malaria control and treatment strategies to achieve the sustainable development goals.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overChildChild, PreschoolEthiopiaFemaleGlobal Burden of DiseaseHumansIncidenceInfantInfant, NewbornMalariaMaleMiddle Aged

Identifiers

PMID28676108
PMCPMC5496144

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.