Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28668081›Full record

ArticlePopulation health metrics2017

Comparing trends in mortality from cardiovascular disease and cancer in the United Kingdom, 1983-2013: joinpoint regression analysis.

Lauren Wilson, Prachi Bhatnagar, Nick Townsend

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in Population health metrics, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 40 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
40citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

40 citing papers in PubMed.

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  11. Trends in Avoidable Mortality in Kazakhstan From 2015 to 2021.International journal of health policy and management · 2024
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  13. Review
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  17. Trends in mortality from cardiovascular diseases in Chile, 2000-2020.Revista panamericana de salud publica = Pan American journal of public health · 2023
    Article
  18. Recent Trends in Cardiovascular Disease Mortality in Kazakhstan.Vascular health and risk management · 2023
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Lauren WilsonNuffield Department of Public Health, British Heart Foundation Centre on Population Approaches for Non-Communicable Disease Prevention, University of Oxford, Old Road Campus, Oxford, OX3 7LF, UK.
Prachi BhatnagarNuffield Department of Public Health, British Heart Foundation Centre on Population Approaches for Non-Communicable Disease Prevention, University of Oxford, Old Road Campus, Oxford, OX3 7LF, UK.
Nick TownsendNuffield Department of Public Health, British Heart Foundation Centre on Population Approaches for Non-Communicable Disease Prevention, University of Oxford, Old Road Campus, Oxford, OX3 7LF, UK. nicholas.townsend@dph.ox.ac.uk.

Funding

British Heart Foundation 006/P&C/CORE/2013/OXFSTATS
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWe aimed to study the time trends underlying a change from cardiovascular disease (CVD) to cancer as the most common cause of age-standardized mortality in the UK between 1983 and 2013.

methodsA retrospective trend analysis of the World Health Organization mortality database for mortality from all cancers, all CVDs, and their three most common types, by sex and age. Age-standardized mortality rates were adjusted to the 2013 European Standard Population and analyzed using joinpoint regression analysis for annual percent changes.

resultsThe difference in mortality rate between total CVD and cancer narrowed over the study period as age-standardized mortality from CVD decreased more steeply than cancer in both sexes. We observed higher overall rates for both diseases in men compared to women, with high mortality rates from ischemic heart disease and lung cancer in men. Joinpoint regression analysis indicated that trends of decreasing rates of CVD have increased over time while decreasing trends in cancer mortality rates have slowed down since the 1990s. The lowest improvements in mortality rates were for cancer in those over 75 years of age and lung cancer in women.

conclusionsIn 2011, the age-standardized mortality rate for cancer exceeded that of CVD in both sexes in the UK. These changing trends in mortality may support evidence for changes in policy and resource allocation in the UK.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge DistributionCardiovascular DiseasesCause of DeathDatabases, FactualFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedMortalityNeoplasmsRegression AnalysisRetrospective StudiesSex DistributionCancerCardiovascular diseaseEpidemiologyJoinpoint regression analysisMortality

Identifiers

PMID28668081
PMCPMC5494138

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.