Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28666001›Full record

SynthesisPLoS medicine2017

Mammographic density and ageing: A collaborative pooled analysis of cross-sectional data from 22 countries worldwide.

Anya Burton, Gertraud Maskarinec, Beatriz Perez-Gomez, Celine Vachon, Hui Miao, Martín Lajous, Ruy López-Ridaura, Megan Rice, Ana Pereira, Maria Luisa Garmendia and 44 more

Open access · goldAbstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in PLoS medicine, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 89 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
89citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
14.7field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

89 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 189 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  17. Breast Density Changes after Risk-Reducing Salpingo-oophorectomy in Women with a Pathogenic Germline Variant in BRCA1 or BRCA2.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2025
    Article
  18. Article
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  20. Mammographic Density in Relation to Breast Cancer Risk Factors among Chinese Women.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2025
    Article

29 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

54 authors at 20 institutions in 22 countries.

Anya BurtonSection of Environment and Radiation, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4416-0538
Gertraud MaskarinecUniversity of Hawaii Cancer Center, Honolulu, Hawaii, United States of America.
Beatriz Perez-GomezInstituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.
Celine VachonDepartment of Health Sciences Research, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, United States of America.
Hui MiaoSaw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore, Singapore.
Martín LajousInstituto Nacional de Salud Pública, Cuernavaca, Mexico.
Ruy López-RidauraInstituto Nacional de Salud Pública, Cuernavaca, Mexico.
Megan RiceMassachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Ana PereiraInstituto de Nutrición y Tecnología de los Alimentos, Universidad de Chile, Santiago, Chile.
Maria Luisa GarmendiaInstituto de Nutrición y Tecnología de los Alimentos, Universidad de Chile, Santiago, Chile.
Rulla M TamimiBrigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Kimberly BertrandSlone Epidemiology Center, Boston University, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Ava KwongDivision of Breast Surgery, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
Giske UrsinCancer Registry of Norway, Oslo, Norway.
Eunjung LeeDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, United States of America.
Samera A QureshiNorwegian Centre for Migrant and Minority Health (NAKMI), Oslo, Norway.
Huiyan MaDepartment of Population Sciences, City of Hope National Medical Center, Duarte, California, United States of America.
Sarah VinnicombeDivision of Cancer Research, Ninewells Hospital and Medical School, Dundee, United Kingdom.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4956-1266
Sue MossWolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom.
Steve AllenDepartment of Diagnostic Radiology, Royal Marsden NHS Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom.
Rose NdumiaAga Khan University Hospital, Nairobi, Kenya.
Sudhir VinayakAga Khan University Hospital, Nairobi, Kenya.
Soo-Hwang TeoBreast Cancer Research Group, University of Malaya Medical Centre, University of Malaya, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
Shivaani MariapunCancer Research Malaysia, Subang Jaya, Malaysia.
Farhana FadzliBreast Cancer Research Unit, Faculty of Medicine, University of Malaya Cancer Research Institute, University of Malaya, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
Beata PeplonskaNofer Institute of Occupational Medicine, Łódź, Poland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3915-2872
Agnieszka BukowskaNofer Institute of Occupational Medicine, Łódź, Poland.
Chisato NagataDepartment of Epidemiology & Preventive Medicine, Graduate School of Medicine, Gifu University, Gifu, Japan.
Jennifer StoneCentre for Genetic Origins of Health and Disease, University of Western Australia, Crawley, Western Australia, Australia.
John HopperCentre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8567-173X
Graham GilesCentre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4946-9099
Vahit OzmenFaculty of Medicine, Istanbul University, Istanbul, Turkey.
Mustafa Erkin AribalDepartment of Radiology, School of Medicine, Marmara University, Istanbul, Turkey.
Joachim SchüzSection of Environment and Radiation, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.
Carla H Van GilsJulius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0817-7567
Johanna O P WandersJulius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Reza SirousIsfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran.
Mehri SirousRadiology Department, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran.
John HipwellCentre for Medical Image Computing, University College London, London, United Kingdom.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2230-5302
Jisun KimAsan Medical Center, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Jong Won LeeAsan Medical Center, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Caroline DickensDepartment of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Mikael HartmanDepartment of Health Sciences Research, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, United States of America.
Kee-Seng ChiaGraduate School for Integrative Sciences and Engineering, National University of Singapore, Singapore.
Christopher ScottDepartment of Health Sciences Research, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, United States of America.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1340-0647
Anna M ChiarelliOntario Breast Screening Program, Cancer Care Ontario, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Linda LintonPrincess Margaret Cancer Centre, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Marina PollanInstituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.
Anath Arzee FlugelmanNational Cancer Control Center, Lady Davis Carmel Medical Center, Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa, Israel.
Dorria SalemWoman Imaging Unit, Radiodiagnosis Department, Kasr El Aini, Cairo University Hospitals, Cairo, Egypt.
Rasha KamalWoman Imaging Unit, Radiodiagnosis Department, Kasr El Aini, Cairo University Hospitals, Cairo, Egypt.
Norman BoydPrincess Margaret Cancer Centre, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Isabel Dos-Santos-SilvaDepartment of Non-communicable Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Valerie McCormackSection of Environment and Radiation, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.
Centre international de recherche sur le cancer · FRAga Khan University Hospital Nairobi · KEAsan Medical Center · KRCairo University hospitals · EGInstituto de Salud Carlos III · ESInstituto Nacional de Salud Pública · MXIsfahan University of Medical Sciences · IRMayo Clinic in Florida · USNational University of Singapore · SGNofer Institute of Occupational Medicine · PLPrincess Margaret Cancer Centre · CAThe University of Melbourne · AUUniversity Malaya Medical Centre · MYUniversity Medical Center Utrecht · NLUniversity of Chile · CLUniversity of Southern California · USBoston University · USBrigham and Women's Hospital · USCancer Care Ontario · CACancer Research Malaysia · MY

Funding

Women's Cancer ProgramP30CA015083 · NCI · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI AKHILESH PANDEY · 1985 to 2026
$151.3M
The Role of CHFR in Tumorigenesis and Paclitaxel-Sensitivity in Breast CancerP50CA116201 · NCI · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI Fergus Joseph Couch · 2005 to 2026
$49.9M
Multiethnic Cohort Study of Diet and CancerR37CA054281 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF HAWAII AT MANOA · PI KOLONEL, LAURENCE N. · 2003 to 2012
$23.2M
Long Term Multidisciplinary Study of Cancer in Women: The Nurses Health StudyUM1CA186107 · NCI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI ELIASSEN, A. HEATHER, STAMPFER, MEIR · 2014 to 2023
$22.3M
Life Course Cancer Epidemiology Cohort in WomenUM1CA176726 · NCI · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI WILLETT, WALTER C. · 2013 to 2017
$15.7M
A Mayo Cohort Study of Mammographic Breast DensityR01CA097396 · NCI · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI VACHON, CELINE M · 2003 to 2007
$3.1M
Automated Density Measures for Estimating Breast Cancer Risk and Therapy ResponseR01CA177150 · NCI · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI KERLIKOWSKE, KARLA M, VACHON, CELINE M · 2013 to 2017
$3.0M
Risk factors for breast cancer molecular subtypesR01CA140286 · NCI · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI KERLIKOWSKE, KARLA M, VACHON, CELINE M · 2010 to 2014
$2.6M
Whole Genome Association Study of Mammographic DensityR01CA131332 · NCI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI TAMIMI, RULLA M · 2009 to 2012
$1.9M
Molecular Predictors of Mammographic DensityR01CA124865 · NCI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI TAMIMI, RULLA M · 2008 to 2011
$1.2M
NESTED CASE CONTROL STUDY OF MAMMOGRAPHIC DENSITYR01CA085265 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF HAWAII AT MANOA · PI MASKARINEC, GERTRAUD · 2000 to 2002
$728k
International Pooling Project of Mammographic DensityR03CA167771 · NCI · INTERNATIONAL AGENCY FOR RES ON CANCER · PI MCCORMACK, VALERIE · 2012 to 2013
$105k
Cancer Research UK 14565Department of Health 10/57/55NCI NIH HHS N01 CA015083NCI NIH HHS P30 CA015083NCI NIH HHS P50 CA116201NCI NIH HHS R01 CA085265NCI NIH HHS R01 CA097396NCI NIH HHS R01 CA124865NCI NIH HHS R01 CA131332NCI NIH HHS R01 CA140286NCI NIH HHS R01 CA177150NCI NIH HHS R03 CA167771NCI NIH HHS R37 CA054281NCI NIH HHS UM1 CA176726NCI NIH HHS UM1 CA186107World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMammographic density (MD) is one of the strongest breast cancer risk factors. Its age-related characteristics have been studied in women in western countries, but whether these associations apply to women worldwide is not known. METHODS AND

findingsWe examined cross-sectional differences in MD by age and menopausal status in over 11,000 breast-cancer-free women aged 35-85 years, from 40 ethnicity- and location-specific population groups across 22 countries in the International Consortium on Mammographic Density (ICMD). MD was read centrally using a quantitative method (Cumulus) and its square-root metrics were analysed using meta-analysis of group-level estimates and linear regression models of pooled data, adjusted for body mass index, reproductive factors, mammogram view, image type, and reader. In all, 4,534 women were premenopausal, and 6,481 postmenopausal, at the time of mammography. A large age-adjusted difference in percent MD (PD) between post- and premenopausal women was apparent (-0.46 cm [95% CI: -0.53, -0.39]) and appeared greater in women with lower breast cancer risk profiles; variation across population groups due to heterogeneity (I2) was 16.5%. Among premenopausal women, the √PD difference per 10-year increase in age was -0.24 cm (95% CI: -0.34, -0.14; I2 = 30%), reflecting a compositional change (lower dense area and higher non-dense area, with no difference in breast area). In postmenopausal women, the corresponding difference in √PD (-0.38 cm [95% CI: -0.44, -0.33]; I2 = 30%) was additionally driven by increasing breast area. The study is limited by different mammography systems and its cross-sectional rather than longitudinal nature.

conclusionsDeclines in MD with increasing age are present premenopausally, continue postmenopausally, and are most pronounced over the menopausal transition. These effects were highly consistent across diverse groups of women worldwide, suggesting that they result from an intrinsic biological, likely hormonal, mechanism common to women. If cumulative breast density is a key determinant of breast cancer risk, younger ages may be the more critical periods for lifestyle modifications aimed at breast density and breast cancer risk reduction.

Indexed as

AgingBreast DensityPerimenopausePostmenopausePremenopauseAdultAgedAged, 80 and overCross-Sectional StudiesFemaleHumansMiddle Aged

Identifiers

PMID28666001
PMCPMC5493289
OpenAlexW2724454065

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.