ArticleCardiology2017
A Clinical Score for Predicting Atrial Fibrillation in Patients with Cryptogenic Stroke or Transient Ischemic Attack.
Article in Cardiology, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT03962166 (Characterizing Patients With Post-operative Atrial Fibrillation in Relation to Cardiac Surgery by Signal Processed Surface Electrocardiogram), which is not on this map. Cited by 57 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Characterizing Patients With Post-operative Atrial Fibrillation in Relation to Cardiac Surgery by Signal Processed Surface Electrocardiogram (wavECG) and Transthoracic Echocardiography A LAACS-2 Sub-study
Who cites it
57 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 101 citations in OpenAlex.
- Risk Stratification Tools to Guide a Personalized Approach for Cardiac Monitoring in Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source.Journal of the American Heart Association · 2023Pooled it
- Prolonged cardiac monitoring for stroke prevention: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized-controlled clinical trials.European stroke journal · 2023Pooled it
- Recurrent Stroke With Rivaroxaban Compared With Aspirin According to Predictors of Atrial Fibrillation: Secondary Analysis of the NAVIGATE ESUS Randomized Clinical Trial.JAMA neurology · 2019Trial
- Article
- Atrial fibrillation after ischemic stroke: What risk scores illuminate and what they miss.International journal of cardiology. Heart & vasculature · 2026Article
- Article
- Identifying patients at low risk for atrial fibrillation after cryptogenic stroke: the PAVA score.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2026Observational
- The PAFIS score for risk stratification of atrial fibrillation detected after stroke: a multicenter cohort study.International journal of cardiology. Heart & vasculature · 2026Article
- Atrial fibrillation detection after embolic stroke of undetermined source: Development and validation of the CATCH-AF score.International journal of stroke : official journal of the International Stroke Society · 2026Article
- External Validation of Published Scoring Systems to Predict Incident Atrial Fibrillation After Cryptogenic Stroke/Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source.Journal of the American Heart Association · 2026Observational
- Article
- Association Between HAVOC Score and New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation in Patients With ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction.Reviews in cardiovascular medicine · 2026Article
- Predicting Incident Atrial Fibrillation after Stroke: A Scoping Review of Clinical Scores, Biomarkers, and AI-Enhanced Strategies.Cerebrovascular diseases extra · 2026Article
- Early Prediction of Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation in Patients With Acute Stroke Using the BANQMR Score.Journal of clinical neurology (Seoul, Korea) · 2025Article
- Heart Failure and Stroke: A Narrative Review.Journal of clinical medicine · 2025Review
- Combining D-dimer and LDL/HDL ratio to predict the absence of atrial fibrillation in patients with an Implantable Loop Recorder for embolic stroke of Undetermined source.International journal of cardiology. Heart & vasculature · 2025Article
- The mCJACC. Advances · 2025Article
- Factors associated with the detection of atrial fibrillation in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source.BMC neurology · 2025Article
- Brain natriuretic peptide and echocardiographic parameters as biomarkers for predicting new atrial fibrillation detection after acute ischemic stroke.Therapeutic advances in neurological disorders · 2025Article
- Risk Analysis of Atrial Fibrillation Based on ECG Phenotypes: The RAF-ECP Study Protocol.Phenomics (Cham, Switzerland) · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
5 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
Abstract
objectivesDetection of atrial fibrillation (AF) in post-cryptogenic stroke (CS) or transient ischemic attack (TIA) patients carries important therapeutic implications.
methodsTo risk stratify CS/TIA patients for later development of AF, we conducted a retrospective cohort study using data from 1995 to 2015 in the Stanford Translational Research Integrated Database Environment (STRIDE).
resultsOf the 9,589 adult patients (age ≥40 years) with CS/TIA included, 482 (5%) patients developed AF post CS/TIA. Of those patients, 28.4, 26.3, and 45.3% were diagnosed with AF 1-12 months, 1-3 years, and >3 years after the index CS/TIA, respectively. Age (≥75 years), obesity, congestive heart failure, hypertension, coronary artery disease, peripheral vascular disease, and valve disease are significant risk factors, with the following respective odds ratios (95% CI): 1.73 (1.39-2.16), 1.53 (1.05-2.18), 3.34 (2.61-4.28), 2.01 (1.53-2.68), 1.72 (1.35-2.19), 1.37 (1.02-1.84), and 2.05 (1.55-2.69). A risk-scoring system, i.e., the HAVOC score, was constructed using these 7 clinical variables that successfully stratify patients into 3 risk groups, with good model discrimination (area under the curve = 0.77).
conclusionsFindings from this study support the strategy of looking longer and harder for AF in post-CS/TIA patients. The HAVOC score identifies different levels of AF risk and may be used to select patients for extended rhythm monitoring.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.