ArticleBMJ open2017
Observed and projected trends in paediatric health resources and services in China between 2003 and 2030: a time-series study.
Article in BMJ open, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
6 citing papers in PubMed.
- Bridging Policy and Practice in Telemedicine Follow-Up Identification: Multicenter Mixed Methods Study in Beijing.JMIR human factors · 2025Article
- Case-mix adjustment of patient-reported experience measures in National Regional Center for Pediatric.Pediatric research · 2023Article
- Performance of Deep Learning-Based Algorithm for Detection of Pediatric Intussusception on Abdominal Ultrasound Images.Gastroenterology research and practice · 2022Article
- Reliability and validity of an instrument to assess pediatric inpatients' experience of care in China.Translational pediatrics · 2021Article
- Can a Multi-Component Intervention Improve Pediatric Service Delivery in Guangzhou?Frontiers in public health · 2021Article
- Impact of the Universal Two-Child Policy on the Workload of Community-Based Basic Public Health Services in Zhejiang Province, China.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2019Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
8 authors.
Funding
Abstract
objectivesThe two-child policy took effect in China on 1 January 2016, thus officially ending the one-child policy. The resultant growth in the population will create a considerable demand for public services such as paediatric healthcare, even while there are limited paediatric resources. We estimated the relationship between paediatric health resources and services and child mortality to determine the degree of the deficiency of such resources in China. Projecting the quantity of paediatric health resource allocation and service supply through 2030 will help provide data reference for future policy decision making.
designTime-series study.
settingThe People's Republic of China.
participantsPaediatric patients whose data were recorded between 2003 and 2012 from the National Health and Family Planning Commission of the People's Republic of China. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Child mortality and paediatric health resources and services data were entered into a cubic polynomial regression model to project paediatric health resources and services to 2030.
resultsChild mortality decreased throughout the past decade. Furthermore, the number of paediatric beds, paediatricians and nurses increased between 2003 and 2012, although the proportions increased rather slowly. Both the number and proportion of paediatric outpatients and inpatients increased rapidly. The observed and model-predicted values matched well (adjusted R
conclusionsDespite implementation of the two-child policy, resource allocation in paediatrics has many deficiencies. Proper measures should be taken to actively respond to the demand for paediatric health services.
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