Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28640287›Full record

ArticleClinical and translational gastroenterology2017

Cost-Effectiveness of Risk Score-Stratified Hepatocellular Carcinoma Screening in Patients with Cirrhosis.

Nicolas Goossens, Amit G Singal, Lindsay Y King, Karin L Andersson, Bryan C Fuchs, Cecilia Besa, Bachir Taouli, Raymond T Chung, Yujin Hoshida

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical and translational gastroenterology, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 108 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
108citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

108 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Guideline
  2. [Guideline for stratified screening and surveillance of primary liver cancer(2020 Edition)].Zhonghua gan zang bing za zhi = Zhonghua ganzangbing zazhi = Chinese journal of hepatology · 2021
    Guideline
  3. Pooled it
  4. Trial
  5. Financial Burden of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Screening in Patients With Cirrhosis.Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association · 2024
    Trial
  6. Trial
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Review
  10. Review
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Practice changing RCT design and rationale: Abbreviated MRI plus AFPJHEP reports : innovation in hepatology · 2026
    Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Review
  18. Review
  19. Article
  20. Review

48 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Nicolas GoossensDivision of Liver Diseases, Department of Medicine, Liver Cancer Program, Tisch Cancer Institute, Graduate School of Biomedical Sciences, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York, USA.
Amit G SingalDepartment of Internal Medicine, Harold C. Simmons Cancer Center, UT Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas, USA.
Lindsay Y KingLiver Center, Gastrointestinal Unit, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Karin L AnderssonLiver Center, Gastrointestinal Unit, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Bryan C FuchsDivision of Surgical Oncology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Cecilia BesaDepartment of Radiology/Translational and Molecular Imaging Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York, USA.
Bachir TaouliDepartment of Radiology/Translational and Molecular Imaging Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York, USA.
Raymond T ChungLiver Center, Gastrointestinal Unit, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Yujin HoshidaDivision of Liver Diseases, Department of Medicine, Liver Cancer Program, Tisch Cancer Institute, Graduate School of Biomedical Sciences, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York, USA.

Funding

THE TISCH CANCER INSTITUTE - CANCER CENTER SUPPORT GRANTP30CA196521 · NCI · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI Deanna L Benson · 2015 to 2026
$35.4M
Molecular Prognostic Indicators in Liver Cirrhosis and CancerR01DK099558 · NIDDK · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI HOSHIDA, YUJIN · 2013 to 2016
$2.6M
Transforming Genomics with 5 PB Big Omics Data Engine Cray CS300-AC SupercomputerS10OD018522 · OD · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI KOVATCH, PATRICIA · 2014 to 2014
$1.9M
Patient-Oriented Research on Hepatitis in Special PopulationsK24DK078772 · NIDDK · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI CHUNG, RAYMOND T · 2007 to 2016
$1.6M
European Research Council 671231NIDDK NIH HHS K24 DK078772NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK099558NIH HHS S10 OD018522
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesHepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance with biannual ultrasound is currently recommended for all patients with cirrhosis. However, clinical implementation of this "one-size-fits-all" approach is challenging as evidenced by its low application rate. We aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of risk-stratified HCC surveillance strategies in patients with cirrhosis.

methodsA Markov decision-analytic modeling was performed to simulate a cohort of 50-year-old subjects with compensated cirrhosis. Risk-stratified HCC surveillance strategies was implemented, in which patients were stratified into high-, intermediate-, or low-risk groups by HCC risk biomarker-based scores and assigned to surveillance modalities tailored to HCC risk (2 non-risk-stratified and 14 risk-stratified strategies) and compared with non-stratified biannual ultrasound.

resultsQuality-adjusted life expectancy gains for biannual ultrasound in all patients and risk-stratified strategies compared with no surveillance were 1.3 and 0.9-2.1 years, respectively. Compared with the current standard of biannual ultrasound in all cirrhosis patients, risk-stratified strategies applying magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and/or ultrasound only in high- and intermediate-risk patients, without screening in low-risk patients, were cost-effective. Abbreviated MRI (AMRI) for high- and intermediate-risk patients had the lowest incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $2,100 per quality-adjusted life year gained. AMRI in intermediate- and high-risk patients had ICERs <$3,000 across a wide range of HCC incidences.

conclusionsRisk-stratified HCC surveillance strategies targeting high- and intermediate-risk patients with cirrhosis are cost-effective and outperform the currently recommended non-stratified biannual ultrasound in all patients with cirrhosis.

Identifiers

PMID28640287
PMCPMC5518949

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.