Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28635004›Full record

ArticleNephrology (Carlton, Vic.)2018

Observation period for changes in proteinuria and risk prediction of end-stage renal disease in general population.

Tomoko Usui, Eiichiro Kanda, Chiho Iseki, Kunitoshi Iseki, Naoki Kashihara, Masaomi Nangaku

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nephrology (Carlton, Vic.), 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
2.4field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 22 citations in OpenAlex.

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  5. Kidney medicine · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.

Tomoko UsuiDivision of Health Service Promotion, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
Eiichiro KandaDepartment of Nephrology, Tokyo Kyosai Hospital, Tokyo, Japan.
Chiho IsekiOkinawa Heart and Renal Association, Clinical Research Support Center, Tomishiro Central Hospital, Okinawa, Japan.
Kunitoshi IsekiOkinawa Heart and Renal Association, Clinical Research Support Center, Tomishiro Central Hospital, Okinawa, Japan.
Naoki KashiharaDepartment of Nephrology and Hypertension, Kawasaki Medical School, Okayama, Japan.
Masaomi NangakuDivision of Nephrology and Endocrinology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
Tomishiro Central Hospital · JPKawasaki Medical School · JPThe University of Tokyo · JPTokyo Medical and Dental University · JPUniversity of Tokyo Health Sciences · JP

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimProteinuria is known to be an independent risk factor of end-stage renal disease (ESRD). But the associations between changes in dipstick proteinuria and the risk of ESRD in the general population and its appropriate observation period to predict incident ESRD are unknown.

methodsWe assessed the changes in dipstick proteinuria in 69 021 participants aged ≥20 years who participated in health check-ups from 1993 and more than once until 1996 in Okinawa, Japan. Development of ESRD until 2011 was identified using dialysis registry. Cox proportional hazards model and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were used.

resultsAt baseline, proteinuria (±) and ≥(1+) were observed in 2.4% and 1.2% of total subjects. 1.5% of subjects had decreased and 9.4% of subjects had increased their proteinuria level after 2 years. After adjustment for confounding factors, hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) of ESRD for subjects with proteinuria change ≤ - 1, +1, +2, +3, and +4 level during 2 years compared to subjects with no change were 0.89 (0.43-1.87), 3.18 (2.21-4.60), 8.01 (5.55-11.55), 11.17 (6.59-19.95), and 16.59 (5.95-46.25), respectively. Heterogeneity existed between changes in proteinuria level during 1 or 3 years and the risk of ESRD among baseline proteinuria. Area under the ROC curve (95%CI) to predict ESRD by increase in proteinuria level during 1, 2, and 3 years were 0.650 (0.623-0.679), 0.779 (0.751-0.808), and 0.778 (0.748-0.808), respectively.

conclusionsThe changes in dipstick proteinuria were an independent predictor of ESRD in the general population. Changes in proteinuria over 2 years may be appropriate for the risk prediction of ESRD.

Indexed as

AdultAgedDisease ProgressionFemaleHumansIncidenceJapanKidney Failure, ChronicMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsPrevalencePrognosisProteinuriaReagent StripsRegistriesReagent Stripschronic kidney diseaseend-stage renal diseasegeneral populationproteinuriarisk prediction

Identifiers

PMID28635004
PMCPMC6120455
OpenAlexW2627472626

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.