Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28622811›Full record

ArticleGeneral hospital psychiatry2017

Development and preliminary performance of a risk factor screen to predict posttraumatic psychological disorder after trauma exposure.

Eve B Carlson, Patrick A Palmieri, David A Spain

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in General hospital psychiatry, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.6field-weighted citation impact, top 14% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 12 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Eve B CarlsonNational Center for Posttraumatic Stress Disorder, VA Palo Alto Health Care System, 795 Willow Rd., Menlo Park, CA 94025, USA; Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Stanford University School of Medicine, USA. Electronic address: eve.carlson@va.gov.
Patrick A PalmieriCenter for the Treatment and Study of Traumatic Stress, Summa Health System - St. Thomas Hospital, Ambulatory Building, Suite 420, 444 North Main Street, Akron, OH 44310, USA. Electronic address: PalmierP@summahealth.org.
David A SpainDepartment of Surgery, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford University, 300 Pasteur Dr, Stanford, CA 94305, USA. Electronic address: dspain@stanford.edu.
Stanford University · USSumma Health System · USVA Palo Alto Health Care System · US

Funding

Ecological Proximal Assessment of Trauma SurvivorsR21MH069876 · NIMH · PALO ALTO VETERANS INSTIT FOR RESEARCH · PI CARLSON, EVE B · 2005 to 2006
$335k
NIMH NIH HHS R21 MH069876
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveWe examined data from a prospective study of risk factors that increase vulnerability or resilience, exacerbate distress, or foster recovery to determine whether risk factors accurately predict which individuals will later have high posttraumatic (PT) symptom levels and whether brief measures of risk factors also accurately predict later symptom elevations.

methodUsing data from 129 adults exposed to traumatic injury of self or a loved one, we conducted receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses of 14 risk factors assessed by full-length measures, determined optimal cutoff scores, and calculated predictive performance for the nine that were most predictive. For five risk factors, we identified sets of items that accounted for 90% of variance in total scores and calculated predictive performance for sets of brief risk measures.

resultsA set of nine risk factors assessed by full measures identified 89% of those who later had elevated PT symptoms (sensitivity) and 78% of those who did not (specificity). A set of four brief risk factor measures assessed soon after injury identified 86% of those who later had elevated PT symptoms and 72% of those who did not.

conclusionsUse of sets of brief risk factor measures shows promise of accurate prediction of PT psychological disorder and probable PTSD or depression. Replication of predictive accuracy is needed in a new and larger sample.

Indexed as

AdultFemaleHumansMalePrognosisRisk FactorsSensitivity and SpecificityStress Disorders, Post-TraumaticWounds and Injuries

Identifiers

PMID28622811
PMCPMC5656435
OpenAlexW2561898980

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.