Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28615005›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2017

Development and validation of a risk score to assist screening for acute HIV-1 infection among men who have sex with men.

Maartje Dijkstra, Godelieve J de Bree, Ineke G Stolte, Udi Davidovich, Eduard J Sanders, Maria Prins, Maarten F Schim van der Loeff

Erratum issuedOpen access · goldAbstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 21 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
1.9field-weighted citation impact, top 15% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 30 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  5. Article
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  8. A 95% decline in estimated newly acquired HIV infections, Amsterdam, 2010 to 2022.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2023
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  15. Novel Criteria for Diagnosing Acute and Early Human Immunodeficiency Virus Infection in a Multinational Study of Early Antiretroviral Therapy Initiation.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2021
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Validation of the San Diego Early Test Score for Early Human Immunodeficiency Virus Infection Among Amsterdam Men Who Have Sex With Men.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2020
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  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. A Simple Symptom Score for Acute Human Immunodeficiency Virus Infection in a San Diego Community-Based Screening Program.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2018
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Maartje DijkstraAcademic Medical Center, Department of Infectious Diseases, University of Amsterdam, P.O. Box 22700, 1100DE, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Godelieve J de BreeAcademic Medical Center, Department of Infectious Diseases, University of Amsterdam, P.O. Box 22700, 1100DE, Amsterdam, the Netherlands. g.j.debree@amc.nl.
Ineke G StoltePublic Health Service of Amsterdam, Department of Infectious Diseases, Research and Prevention, P.O. Box 2200, 1000CE, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Udi DavidovichAcademic Medical Center, Department of Infectious Diseases, University of Amsterdam, P.O. Box 22700, 1100DE, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Eduard J SandersAmsterdam Institute for Global Health and Development, University of Amsterdam, P.O. Box 22700, 1100DE, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Maria PrinsAcademic Medical Center, Department of Infectious Diseases, University of Amsterdam, P.O. Box 22700, 1100DE, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Maarten F Schim van der LoeffAcademic Medical Center, Department of Infectious Diseases, University of Amsterdam, P.O. Box 22700, 1100DE, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Academic Medical Center · NLGGD Amsterdam · NLUniversity of Amsterdam · NLUniversity of Oxford · GB

Funding

Wellcome Trust 107,752Wellcome Trust 107752
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundEarly treatment of acute HIV-1 infection (AHI) is beneficial for patients and could reduce onward transmission. However, guidelines on whom to test for AHI with HIV-1 RNA testing are lacking.

methodsA risk score for possible AHI based on literature and expert opinion - including symptoms associated with AHI and early HIV-1 - was evaluated using data from the Amsterdam Cohort Studies among men who have sex with men (MSM). Subsequently, we optimized the risk score by constructing two multivariable logistic regression models: one including only symptoms and one combining symptoms with known risk factors for HIV-1 seroconversion, using generalized estimating equations. Several risk scores were generated from these models and the optimal risk score was validated using data from the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study.

resultsUsing data from 1562 MSM with 175 HIV-1 seroconversion visits and 17,271 seronegative visits in the Amsterdam Cohort Studies, the optimal risk score included four symptoms (oral thrush, fever, lymphadenopathy, weight loss) and three risk factors (self-reported gonorrhea, receptive condomless anal intercourse, more than five sexual partners, all in the preceding six months) and yielded an AUC of 0.82. Sensitivity was 76.3% and specificity 76.3%. Validation in the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study resulted in an AUC of 0.78, sensitivity of 56.2% and specificity of 88.8%.

conclusionsThe optimal risk score had good overall performance in the Amsterdam Cohort Studies and performed comparable (but showed lower sensitivity) in the validation study. Screening for AHI with four symptoms and three risk factors would increase the efficiency of AHI testing and potentially enhance early diagnosis and immediate treatment.

Indexed as

Homosexuality, MaleAdultCohort StudiesGonorrheaHIV-1HIV InfectionsHumansMaleMiddle AgedNetherlandsRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsSexual BehaviorSexual PartnersAcute HIV-1 infectionDiagnosisMSMRisk scoreScreening tool

Identifiers

PMID28615005
PMCPMC5471739
OpenAlexW2624783569

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.