Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28606177›Full record

ArticleBMC medicine2017

Recent household transmission of tuberculosis in England, 2010-2012: retrospective national cohort study combining epidemiological and molecular strain typing data.

Maeve K Lalor, Laura F Anderson, Esther L Hamblion, Andy Burkitt, Jennifer A Davidson, Helen Maguire, Ibrahim Abubakar, H Lucy Thomas

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medicine, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
3.1field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 34 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Using phylogenetics to infer HIV-1 transmission direction between known transmission pairs.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Tuberculosis Control: An Overview.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2020
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Contacts of underserved tuberculosis patients have higher odds of TB disease in North West England: a cohort study.The international journal of tuberculosis and lung disease : the official journal of the International Union against Tuberculosis and Lung Disease · 2019
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Creating a web-based electronic tool to aid tuberculosis (TB) cluster investigation: data integration in TB surveillance activities in the United Kingdom, 2013 to 2016.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2018
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Observational
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Maeve K LalorTB Section, Centre for Infectious Disease Surveillance, National Infection Service, Public Health England, London, UK. maeve.lalor@phe.gov.uk.
Laura F AndersonTB Section, Centre for Infectious Disease Surveillance, National Infection Service, Public Health England, London, UK.
Esther L HamblionField Epidemiology Services, National Infection Service, Public Health England, London, UK.
Andy BurkittField Epidemiology Services, National Infection Service, Public Health England, London, UK.
Jennifer A DavidsonTB Section, Centre for Infectious Disease Surveillance, National Infection Service, Public Health England, London, UK.
Helen MaguireInstitute for Global Health, University College London, London, UK.
Ibrahim AbubakarTB Section, Centre for Infectious Disease Surveillance, National Infection Service, Public Health England, London, UK.
H Lucy ThomasTB Section, Centre for Infectious Disease Surveillance, National Infection Service, Public Health England, London, UK.
Public Health England · GBUniversity College London · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWe estimate the proportion of tuberculosis (TB) in England due to recent household transmission, identify factors associated with being a household transmitter, and investigate the impact that identification of a case has on time to treatment of subsequent cases.

methodsTB cases notified between 2010 and 2012 in England in the same household as another case were identified; 24 locus MIRU-VNTR strain typing (ST) was used to identify household cases with likely recent transmission. Treatment delay in index and subsequent cases was compared. Risk factors for being a household transmitter were identified in univariable and multivariable analyses.

resultsOverall, 7.7% (1849/24,060) of TB cases lived in a household with another case. We estimate that 3.9% were due to recent household transmission. ST data was unavailable for 67% (1242) of household pairs. For those with ST data, 64% (386) had confirmed, 11% probable (66) and 25% (155) refuted household transmission. The median treatment delay was 65 days for index cases and 37 days for subsequent asymptomatic cases. Risk factors for being a household transmitter included being under 25 years old, UK-born with Black African, Indian or Pakistani ethnicity, or born in Somalia or Romania.

conclusionsThis study has a number of implications for household TB contact tracing in low incidence countries, including the potential to reduce the diagnostic delay for subsequent household cases and the benefit of using ST to identify when to conduct source contact tracing outside the household. As 25% of TB cases in households had discordant strains, households with multiple TB cases do not necessarily represent household transmission. The additional fact that 25% of index cases within households only had extra-pulmonary TB demonstrates that, if household contact tracing is limited to pulmonary TB cases (as recently recommended in UK guidelines), additional cases of active TB in households will be missed. Our finding that no lineage of TB was associated with recent household transmission and with no increased transmissibility in the Beijing lineage compared to others, suggests that the lineage need not impact contact tracing efforts. Improvements in contact tracing have the potential to reduce transmission of TB in low incidence countries.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedAge DistributionChildChild, PreschoolCommunity-Acquired InfectionsEnglandFemaleGenes, BacterialHumansIncidenceInfantInfant, NewbornMaleMiddle AgedHouseholdMIRU-VNTR strain typingMolecular epidemiologyTransmissionTuberculosis

Identifiers

PMID28606177
PMCPMC5469076
OpenAlexW2617076335

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.