Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28598966›Full record

ArticlePLoS genetics2017

Joint modeling of genetically correlated diseases and functional annotations increases accuracy of polygenic risk prediction.

Yiming Hu, Qiongshi Lu, Wei Liu, Yuhua Zhang, Mo Li, Hongyu Zhao

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS genetics, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 55 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
55citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

55 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Yiming HuDepartment of Biostatistics, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0988-1030
Qiongshi LuDepartment of Biostatistics, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4514-0969
Wei LiuPeking University, Beijing, China.
Yuhua ZhangShanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China.
Mo LiDepartment of Biostatistics, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.
Hongyu ZhaoDepartment of Biostatistics, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.

Funding

Yale Clinical and Translational Science Award (U Component)UL1TR001863 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John H. Krystal, LUCILA OHNO-MACHADO · 2016 to 2026
$102.9M
STATISTICAL METHODS TO MAP GENES FOR COMPLEX TRAITSR01GM059507 · NIGMS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI ZHAO, HONGYU · 1999 to 2013
$3.6M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001863NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM059507Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Accurate prediction of disease risk based on genetic factors is an important goal in human genetics research and precision medicine. Advanced prediction models will lead to more effective disease prevention and treatment strategies. Despite the identification of thousands of disease-associated genetic variants through genome-wide association studies (GWAS) in the past decade, accuracy of genetic risk prediction remains moderate for most diseases, which is largely due to the challenges in both identifying all the functionally relevant variants and accurately estimating their effect sizes. In this work, we introduce PleioPred, a principled framework that leverages pleiotropy and functional annotations in genetic risk prediction for complex diseases. PleioPred uses GWAS summary statistics as its input, and jointly models multiple genetically correlated diseases and a variety of external information including linkage disequilibrium and diverse functional annotations to increase the accuracy of risk prediction. Through comprehensive simulations and real data analyses on Crohn's disease, celiac disease and type-II diabetes, we demonstrate that our approach can substantially increase the accuracy of polygenic risk prediction and risk population stratification, i.e. PleioPred can significantly better separate type-II diabetes patients with early and late onset ages, illustrating its potential clinical application. Furthermore, we show that the increment in prediction accuracy is significantly correlated with the genetic correlation between the predicted and jointly modeled diseases.

Indexed as

Genetic Diseases, InbornGenome-Wide Association StudyModels, GeneticGenotypeHumansLinkage DisequilibriumMultifactorial InheritancePhenotypePolymorphism, Single NucleotideRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID28598966
PMCPMC5482506

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.