Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28591154›Full record

ArticlePloS one2017

Prediction of in-hospital mortality after pancreatic resection in pancreatic cancer patients: A boosting approach via a population-based study using health administrative data.

Jose F Velez-Serrano, Daniel Velez-Serrano, Valentin Hernandez-Barrera, Rodrigo Jimenez-Garcia, Ana Lopez de Andres, Pilar Carrasco Garrido, Alejandro Álvaro-Meca

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In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

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0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Immediate Postoperative AbnobaVISCUMYonsei medical journal · 2025
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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Jose F Velez-SerranoDepartment of Computer Science, Rey Juan Carlos University, Madrid, Spain.
Daniel Velez-SerranoDepartment of Statistics and Operations Research, Complutense University, Madrid, Spain.
Valentin Hernandez-BarreraDepartment of Preventive Medicine & Public Health, Rey Juan Carlos University, Madrid, Spain.
Rodrigo Jimenez-GarciaDepartment of Preventive Medicine & Public Health, Rey Juan Carlos University, Madrid, Spain.
Ana Lopez de AndresDepartment of Preventive Medicine & Public Health, Rey Juan Carlos University, Madrid, Spain.
Pilar Carrasco GarridoDepartment of Preventive Medicine & Public Health, Rey Juan Carlos University, Madrid, Spain.
Alejandro Álvaro-MecaDepartment of Preventive Medicine & Public Health, Rey Juan Carlos University, Madrid, Spain.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundOne reason for the aggressiveness of the pancreatic cancer is that it is diagnosed late, which often limits both the therapeutic options that are available and patient survival. The long-term survival of pancreatic cancer patients is not possible if the tumor is not resected, even among patients who receive chemotherapy in the earliest stages. The main objective of this study was to create a prediction model for in-hospital mortality after a pancreatectomy in pancreatic cancer patients.

methodsWe performed a retrospective study of all pancreatic resections in pancreatic cancer patients in Spanish public hospitals (2013). Data were obtained from records in the Minimum Basic Data Set. To develop the prediction model, we used a boosting method.

resultsThe in-hospital mortality of pancreatic resections in pancreatic cancer patients was 8.48% in Spain. Our model showed high predictive accuracy, with an AUC of 0.91 and a Brier score of 0.09, which indicated that the probabilities were well calibrated. In addition, a sensitivity analysis of the information available prior to the surgery revealed that our model has high predictive accuracy, with an AUC of 0.802.

conclusionsIn this study, we developed a nation-wide system that is capable of generating accurate and reliable predictions of in-hospital mortality after pancreatic resection in patients with pancreatic cancer. Our model could help surgeons understand the importance of the patients' characteristics prior to surgery and the health effects that may follow resection.

Indexed as

Hospital MortalityAgedCalibrationFemaleHumansMalePancreatectomyPancreatic NeoplasmsProbabilityRegression Analysis

Identifiers

PMID28591154
PMCPMC5462391

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.