Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28588249›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2017

Estimating age-related incidence of HBsAg seroclearance in chronic hepatitis B virus infections of China by using a dynamic compartmental model.

Jian Zu, Guihua Zhuang, Peifeng Liang, Fuqiang Cui, Fuzhen Wang, Hui Zheng, Xiaofeng Liang

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
1.0field-weighted citation impact, top 23% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 18 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Jian ZuSchool of Mathematics and Statistics, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710049, P.R. China. jianzu@xjtu.edu.cn.
Guihua ZhuangSchool of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Health Science Center, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710061, P.R. China. zhuanggh@mail.xjtu.edu.cn.
Peifeng LiangDepartment of Medical Statistics, Ningxia People' Hospital, Yinchuan, Ningxia, 750002, P.R. China.
Fuqiang CuiChinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, 100050, P.R. China.
Fuzhen WangChinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, 100050, P.R. China.
Hui ZhengChinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, 100050, P.R. China.
Xiaofeng LiangChinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, 100050, P.R. China. liangxf@hotmail.com.
Chinese Center For Disease Control and Prevention · CNNingxia Medical University · CNUniversity of Chicago · USXi'an Jiaotong University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The age-specific seroclearance pattern of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) in chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infections of China remains unclear. In this study, based on three national serosurvey data of hepatitis B in China, we propose an age- and time-dependent discrete model and use the method of non-linear least squares to estimate the age-specific annual rate of HBsAg seroclearance. We found that the HBsAg seroclearance in chronic HBV infections of China aged 1-59 years occurred at an average annual rate of 1.80% (95% CI, 1.54-2.06%) from 1993 to 2006. The HBsAg seroclearance occurred predominantly in the early childhood, 20-24 and 35-39 year age groups. Moreover, our model estimated that HBsAg seroclearance resulted in 23.38% of the decrease of total HBsAg prevalence for population aged 1-59 years in 2006. It also prevented 9.30% of new HBV infections (about 7.43 million people) and 9.95% of HBV-related deaths (about 0.25 million people) from 1993 to 2006. This study develops a new and efficient method to estimate the age-specific incidence of HBsAg seroclearance at a population-level and evaluate its effect.

Indexed as

Hepatitis B virusModels, TheoreticalAdolescentAdultAge FactorsAlgorithmsChildChild, PreschoolChinaFemaleHepatitis B, ChronicHepatitis B Surface AntigensHumansIncidenceInfantMaleHepatitis B Surface Antigens

Identifiers

PMID28588249
PMCPMC5460177
OpenAlexW2618905500

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.