ArticleDemography2017
Job Displacement and First Birth Over the Business Cycle.
Article in Demography, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
9 citing papers in PubMed.
- An Ongoing Gender Revolution in Europe: Women's Stable Employment as a Precondition for Partnered First Births.Population research and policy review · 2026Article
- Perceptions of the Future and Pregnancy Avoidance in the U.S.Population research and policy review · 2025Article
- Social Climate, Uncertainty and Fertility Intentions: from the Great Recession to the Covid-19 Crisis.European journal of population = Revue europeenne de demographie · 2023Article
- Second Birth Fertility in Germany: Social Class, Gender, and the Role of Economic Uncertainty.European journal of population = Revue europeenne de demographie · 2023Article
- Employment uncertainty and fertility intentions: Stability or resilience?Population studies · 2022Article
- Economic Precariousness and the Transition to Parenthood: A Dynamic and Multidimensional Approach.European journal of population = Revue europeenne de demographie · 2022Article
- TheEuropean journal of population = Revue europeenne de demographie · 2021Article
- Article
- Pandemic-Based Stress and Timing of Fertility Intentions among Partnered Adults.Socius : sociological research for a dynamic worldArticle
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
In this article, we investigate the impact of job displacement on women's first-birth rates as well as the variation in this effect over the business cycle. We use mass layoffs to estimate the causal effects of involuntary job loss on fertility in the short and medium term, up to five years after displacement. Our analysis is based on rich administrative data from Germany, with an observation period spanning more than 20 years. We apply inverse probability weighting (IPW) to flexibly control for the observed differences between women who were and were not displaced. To account for the differences in the composition of the women who were displaced in a downturn and the women who were displaced in an upswing, we use a double weighting estimator. Results show that the extent to which job displacement has adverse effects on fertility depends on the business cycle. The first-birth rates were much lower for women who were displaced in an economic downturn than for those who lost a job in an economic upturn. This result cannot be explained by changes in the observed characteristics of the displaced women over the business cycle.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.