Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28584096›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2017

Marine reserves can mitigate and promote adaptation to climate change.

Callum M Roberts, Bethan C O'Leary, Douglas J McCauley, Philippe Maurice Cury, Carlos M Duarte, Jane Lubchenco, Daniel Pauly, Andrea Sáenz-Arroyo, Ussif Rashid Sumaila, Rod W Wilson and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 85 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
85citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

85 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Conservation benefits of a large marine protected area network that spans multiple ecosystems.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2025
    Pooled it
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  6. Assessing the variability and vulnerability of carbon function in coastal soft sediment ecosystems to inform protection.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2026
    Article
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  15. Measuring biological effectiveness across a very large, coherent network of coastal marine protected areas.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2025
    Article
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  20. Combining environmental DNA and visual surveys can inform conservation planning for coral reefs.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article

25 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Callum M RobertsEnvironment Department, University of York, York, YO10 5NG, United Kingdom.
Bethan C O'LearyEnvironment Department, University of York, York, YO10 5NG, United Kingdom.
Douglas J McCauleyDepartment of Ecology, Evolution, and Marine Biology, University of California Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA 93106.
Philippe Maurice CuryResearch Institute for Development, Club of Associated Research Organizations-Marine Biodiversity, Exploitation, and Ecosystem Modeling, B-1210 Brussels, Belgium.
Carlos M DuarteRed Sea Research Center, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, Thuwal, 23955-6900, Saudi Arabia.
Jane LubchencoDepartment of Integrative Biology, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR 97331.
Daniel PaulyInstitute for the Oceans and Fisheries, The University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z4, Canada.
Andrea Sáenz-ArroyoDepartamento de Conservación de la Biodiversidad, El Colegio de la Frontera Sur, San Cristóbal de las Casas, Chiapas, CP 29290, Mexico.
Ussif Rashid SumailaInstitute for the Oceans and Fisheries, The University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z4, Canada.
Rod W WilsonBiosciences, College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter EX4 4QD, United Kingdom.
Boris WormBiology Department, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS B3H 4R2, Canada.
Juan Carlos CastillaNucleo de Conservacion Marina, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Alameda Bernardo O'Higgins 340, Santiago 8331150, Chile; jcastilla@bio.puc.cl.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Strong decreases in greenhouse gas emissions are required to meet the reduction trajectory resolved within the 2015 Paris Agreement. However, even these decreases will not avert serious stress and damage to life on Earth, and additional steps are needed to boost the resilience of ecosystems, safeguard their wildlife, and protect their capacity to supply vital goods and services. We discuss how well-managed marine reserves may help marine ecosystems and people adapt to five prominent impacts of climate change: acidification, sea-level rise, intensification of storms, shifts in species distribution, and decreased productivity and oxygen availability, as well as their cumulative effects. We explore the role of managed ecosystems in mitigating climate change by promoting carbon sequestration and storage and by buffering against uncertainty in management, environmental fluctuations, directional change, and extreme events. We highlight both strengths and limitations and conclude that marine reserves are a viable low-tech, cost-effective adaptation strategy that would yield multiple cobenefits from local to global scales, improving the outlook for the environment and people into the future.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeConservation of Natural ResourcesEcosystemAdaptation, PhysiologicalAnimalsAquatic Organismsecological insuranceglobal changemarine protected areasMPAnature-based solution

Identifiers

PMID28584096
PMCPMC5474809

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.