Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28572618›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2017

Uncovering and Predicting the Dynamic Process of Collective Attention with Survival Theory.

Peng Bao, Xiaoxia Zhang

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
0.6field-weighted citation impact, top 34% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 14 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Peng BaoSchool of Software Engineering, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing, China. baopeng@bjtu.edu.cn.
Xiaoxia ZhangSchool of Economics and Management, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.
Beijing Jiaotong University · CNTsinghua University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The subject of collective attention is in the center of this era of information explosion. It is thus of great interest to understand the fundamental mechanism underlying attention in large populations within a complex evolving system. Moreover, an ability to predict the dynamic process of collective attention for individual items has important implications in an array of areas. In this report, we propose a generative probabilistic model using a self-excited Hawkes process with survival theory to model and predict the process through which individual items gain their attentions. This model explicitly captures three key ingredients: the intrinsic attractiveness of an item, characterizing its inherent competitiveness against other items; a reinforcement mechanism based on sum of each previous attention triggers; and a power-law temporal relaxation function, corresponding to the aging in the ability to attract new attentions. Experiments on two population-scale datasets demonstrate that this model consistently outperforms the state-of-the-art methods.

Identifiers

PMID28572618
PMCPMC5453944
OpenAlexW2618690259

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.