Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28570627›Full record

ArticlePloS one2017

Effect of climate on incidence of respiratory syncytial virus infections in a refugee camp in Kenya: A non-Gaussian time-series analysis.

Raymond Nyoka, Jimmy Omony, Samuel M Mwalili, Thomas N O Achia, Anthony Gichangi, Henry Mwambi

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.7field-weighted citation impact, top 28% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 15 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Climate Change and African Migrant Health.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.

Raymond NyokaSchool of Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science, University of KwaZulu- Natal, Scottsville, South Africa.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6881-9555
Jimmy OmonyMolecular Genetics Department, University of Groningen, Groningen, Netherlands.
Samuel M MwaliliStatistics Department, Jomo Kenyatta University of Agriculture and Technology, Nairobi, Kenya.
Thomas N O AchiaSchool of Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science, University of KwaZulu- Natal, Scottsville, South Africa.
Anthony GichangiJhpiego - an affiliate of John Hopkins University, Westlands, Nairobi, Kenya.
Henry MwambiSchool of Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science, University of KwaZulu- Natal, Scottsville, South Africa.
University of KwaZulu-Natal · ZAJomo Kenyatta University of Agriculture and Technology · KEUniversity of Groningen · NL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is one of the major causes of acute lower respiratory tract infections (ALRTI) in children. Children younger than 1 year are the most susceptible to RSV infection. RSV infections occur seasonally in temperate climate regions. Based on RSV surveillance and climatic data, we developed statistical models that were assessed and compared to predict the relationship between weather and RSV incidence among refugee children younger than 5 years in Dadaab refugee camp in Kenya. Most time-series analyses rely on the assumption of Gaussian-distributed data. However, surveillance data often do not have a Gaussian distribution. We used a generalized linear model (GLM) with a sinusoidal component over time to account for seasonal variation and extended it to a generalized additive model (GAM) with smoothing cubic splines. Climatic factors were included as covariates in the models before and after timescale decompositions, and the results were compared. Models with decomposed covariates fit RSV incidence data better than those without. The Poisson GAM with decomposed covariates of climatic factors fit the data well and had a higher explanatory and predictive power than GLM. The best model predicted the relationship between atmospheric conditions and RSV infection incidence among children younger than 5 years. This knowledge helps public health officials to prepare for, and respond more effectively to increasing RSV incidence in low-resource regions or communities.

Indexed as

ClimateRefugeesChildChild, PreschoolHumansIncidenceInfantKenyaRespiratory Syncytial Virus Infections

Identifiers

PMID28570627
PMCPMC5453485
OpenAlexW2620962462

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC0
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.