Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28556825›Full record

ArticleNature communications2017

Modelling the role of groundwater hydro-refugia in East African hominin evolution and dispersal.

M O Cuthbert, T Gleeson, S C Reynolds, M R Bennett, A C Newton, C J McCormack, G M Ashley

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
32.2field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 75 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. What is groundwater?Hydrogeology journal · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. From evolutionary ecosystem simulations to computational models of human behavior.Wiley interdisciplinary reviews. Cognitive science · 2022
    Review
  4. Evaluating refugia in recent human evolution in Africa.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2022
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 4 institutions in 4 countries.

M O CuthbertSchool of Earth and Ocean Sciences, Cardiff University, Main Building, Park Pl, Cardiff CF10 3AT, UK.
T GleesonDepartment of Civil Engineering and School of Earth and Ocean Sciences, University of Victoria, PO Box 1700, ECS 316, 3800 Finnerty Road, Victoria, British Colombia, Canada V8W 2Y2.
S C ReynoldsInstitute for Studies of Landscape and Human Evolution, Faculty of Science and Technology, Bournemouth University, Bournemouth BH12 5BB, UK.
M R BennettInstitute for Studies of Landscape and Human Evolution, Faculty of Science and Technology, Bournemouth University, Bournemouth BH12 5BB, UK.
A C NewtonInstitute for Studies of Landscape and Human Evolution, Faculty of Science and Technology, Bournemouth University, Bournemouth BH12 5BB, UK.
C J McCormackSchool of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TT, UK.
G M AshleyDepartment of Earth &Planetary Sciences, Rutgers University, Piscataway, New Jersey 08854-8066, USA.
Bournemouth University · GBUniversity of Birmingham · GBRutgers, The State University of New Jersey · USUniversity of Victoria · CA

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Water is a fundamental resource, yet its spatiotemporal availability in East Africa is poorly understood. This is the area where most hominin first occurrences are located, and consequently the potential role of water in hominin evolution and dispersal remains unresolved. Here, we show that hundreds of springs currently distributed across East Africa could function as persistent groundwater hydro-refugia through orbital-scale climate cycles. Groundwater buffers climate variability according to spatially variable groundwater response times determined by geology and topography. Using an agent-based model, grounded on the present day landscape, we show that groundwater availability would have been critical to supporting isolated networks of hydro-refugia during dry periods when potable surface water was scarce. This may have facilitated unexpected variations in isolation and dispersal of hominin populations in the past. Our results therefore provide a new environmental framework in which to understand how patterns of taxonomic diversity in hominins may have developed.

Indexed as

ClimateGenetic VariationGroundwaterHominidaeRefugiumAfrica, EasternAlgorithmsAnimalsBiological EvolutionClassificationGene FlowGeologyModels, BiologicalMonte Carlo MethodPaleontologyPrincipal Component Analysis

Identifiers

PMID28556825
PMCPMC5460002
OpenAlexW2619212722

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.